797
FNUS74 KMOB 291939
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
Issued by National Weather Service New Orleans LA
239 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Persistent southeast flow of 15 to 20 mph will
continue through the evening hours.  Winds will relax to 10 to
15 mph and turn more southerly and then southwesterly late
tonight into tomorrow morning.  A band of rain showers is
expected to pass over the burn site tonight and humidity levels
will remain high through tomorrow morning.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...549-579 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast around 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....44.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59  63  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0
LAL.............1   1   1
Temp............75  75  75
RH..............82  82  82
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..16  17  18
20 FT wind gust.21  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.8 1.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SSE
Transp wind spd.20  20  20
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SSE
Trans spd (m/s).9   9   9
Dispersion idx..45  43  43
LVORI...........3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the evening. Chance of showers
                    overnight, then showers likely early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-549 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 23 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 7 to 10 meters/second.
Dispersion index....43 decreasing to 16.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........74  81  79  82  79  74  71  71  70  72  74  69
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  20  20  20  30  40  50  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  73  72  72  72  72  72  72  72  72  72  71
RH..............84  87  90  90  90  90  90  90  93  90  90  97
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..16  15  15  15  17  15  14  14  13  10  8   9
20 FT wind gust.18  17  17  18  18  18  18  18  17  14  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.21  21  22  22  23  23  23  21  20  17  16  15
Trans wind dir..SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).9   9   10  10  10  10  10  9   9   8   7   7
Dispersion idx..43  20  17  18  18  18  17  16  14  12  12  11
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (5-15 percent). Chance of showers in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-457 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 6 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....16 increasing to 40.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........64  61  57  57  57  57  52  51  50  50  14  8
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  50  50  50  50  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  71  72  73  74  75  75  76  76  76  76  76
RH..............93  93  90  90  84  84  84  82  82  82  82  82
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SSW SSW SW  SW  SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   10  10  12  13  14  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.13  12  12  12  13  14  15  17  18  17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.3 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.16  16  14  15  14  14  16  15  15  16  15  15
Trans wind dir..S   SSW SSW SW  SW  SW  SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   6   7   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..11  14  20  28  31  36  40  42  43  41  37  37
LVORI...........6   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   3   3

$$
Forecaster...PG
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.8/MOB
.DELDT 04/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Robert_Vick@nps.gov,scworthi@gmail.com