Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
525
FXXX04 KWNP 142201
DAYPRE

:Product: 3-day Space Weather Predictions daypre.txt
:Issued: 2024 May 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             3-day Space Weather Predictions
#
:Prediction_dates:   2024 May 15   2024 May 16   2024 May 17
:Geomagnetic_A_indices:
A_Fredericksburg         15             8            10
A_Planetary              18            10            12
#
# Predicted 3-hour Middle latitude k-indices
:Pred_Mid_k:
Mid/00-03UT               5             2             2
Mid/03-06UT               3             2             1
Mid/06-09UT               3             3             2
Mid/09-12UT               2             2             2
Mid/12-15UT               2             2             2
Mid/15-18UT               2             2             2
Mid/18-21UT               2             2             3
Mid/21-00UT               3             2             4
#
# Predicted 3-hour High latitude k-indices
:Pred_High_k:
High/00-03UT              4             2             2
High/03-06UT              3             2             1
High/06-09UT              4             3             2
High/09-12UT              4             4             3
High/12-15UT              4             3             4
High/15-18UT              3             3             3
High/18-21UT              2             2             3
High/21-00UT              2             1             3
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at Middle Latitude
:Prob_Mid:
Mid/Active               35            20            35
Mid/Minor_Storm          30             5            10
Mid/Major-Severe_Storm   10             1             1
#
# Probability of Geomagnetic conditions at High Latitudes
:Prob_High:
High/Active              10            15            15
High/Minor_Storm         20            25            30
High/Major-Severe_Storm  65            25            45
#
# Polar Cap Absorption Forecast
:Polar_cap:
                      yellow
#
# Solar
:10cm_flux:
                        205           195           180
#
:Whole_Disk_Flare_Prob:
Class_M                  75            40            35
Class_X                  40            15            10
Proton                   99            25            15
#
# Region Flare Probabilities for 2024 May 15
# Region     Class C      M             X             P
:Reg_Prob: 2024 May 14
  3664          0         0             0             0
  3667          5         1             1             1
  3670         25         5             1             1
  3671         15         1             1             1
  3672         15         1             1             1
  3673         10         1             1             1
  3674         15         1             1             1
  3675         15         5             1             1
  3676         20         5             1             1
  3678          5         1             1             1
  3679         20         5             1             1
  3680         25         5             1             1
  3682         40        10             1             1