738
FXUS64 KSJT 080721
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
221 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 219 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Unseasonably hot temperatures are forecast across West Central Texas
today. Stratus across the southern half of the area will quickly
dissipate by mid to late morning, with mostly sunny skies this
afternoon. Surface moisture has quickly increased across the area
early this morning, but expect the dryline to quickly sweep east
across the region today, with much drier air filtering in across the
area. Highs across the Big Country will be in the upper 80s to lower
90s, with mid to upper 90s across the rest of the area. A few
locations could approach the upper 90s. Expect overnight lows in the
upper 50s to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1257 PM CDT Tue May 7 2024

Unseasonably warm temperatures through late Wednesday, then a
pattern change to cooler conditions from thursday through the
weekend.

Weak ridging and fairly persistent zonal flow aloft, along with
dry and warm west to southwest flow at the surface, will keep
above normal temperatures across much of West Central Texas
through late Wednesday. A cold front begin to track southeastward
through the area Thursday, with little to no precipitation
expected given the dry nature of this system. However, a
shower/thunderstorms or two could potentially develop across the
far southeastern portions of our area during the afternoon and
evening hours on Thursday. Brought some slight chances into the
forecast during the day Thursday to show the possibility of a few
showers or thunderstorms developing over the Northwest Hill
country and portions of the Heartland.

Once the front passes through the area, and north to northeasterly
winds take hold over the area through the end of the week, we will
see some cooler temperatures remain across West Central Texas
through much of the weekend. High temperatures on Friday are
expected to only reach into the mid 70s to lower 80s, and
gradually warm through Monday reaching back into the 80s across
the area. With low level east to southeasterly flow proceeding
into the weekend, moisture is expected to start returning to the
area, potentially generating a few showers and thunderstorms
late Friday through Sunday. Overall, rain chances will pick up
over west central Texas Saturday afternoon and continuing through
the late afternoon/early evening on Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Stratus will develop at the southern 3 counties between 08Z and
09Z, resulting in MVFR ceilings. Expect a return of VFR conditions
by mid morning. West to southwest winds will increase to 10 to 15
knots by mid morning, then decrease below 12 knots late this
afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     91  60  82  58 /   0   0  10   0
San Angelo  97  62  91  61 /   0   0  10   0
Junction    98  65  96  63 /   0   0  20   0
Brownwood   93  63  83  60 /   0   0  30  10
Sweetwater  90  61  81  58 /   0   0  10   0
Ozona       95  64  93  61 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       93  64  87  62 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Daniels
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...Daniels