Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 280755
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
355 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 355 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms will
continue to move across the area this morning ahead of the cold
front. This front will exit the region by early this afternoon
with northwest winds behind it ushering in cooler drier air to
end the week. High pressure will settle over the area Friday and
then shift east out into the Atlantic Ocean over the weekend, but
continue to ridge west across the Florida peninsula. Fair dry
weather is expected through the weekend with comfortable
temperatures and humidity levels. Early next week the high
pressure ridge will begin to drift south as the next cold front
associated with a storm system moving across the eastern U.S.
approaches the region. Winds will shift to southeast to south
bringing increasing humidity with a chance of showers and a few
thunderstorms arriving by midweek as the cold front moves into
the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 355 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Areas of MVFR/local IFR conditions will be possible this morning
as scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms move
across the area ahead of a cold front. This front will exit the
region by this afternoon with VFR conditions prevailing as breezy
northwest winds at 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts usher in drier
air. Winds will shift to north and diminish to around 10 knots after
sunset.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 355 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

A cold front will sweep across the waters this morning preceded by
showers and a few thunderstorms. Behind the boundary robust
northwest to north winds will setup and continue through tonight.
Winds and seas will subside Friday and remain below headline
criteria through the weekend. Early next week southeast to south
winds will begin to increase as the next cold front approaches
from the northwest.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 355 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

A cold front will move across the region this morning preceded by
showers and a few thunderstorms. Breezy northwest winds behind the
front will usher in cooler drier air and lead to high dispersion
values this afternoon. Relative humidity values will remain above
critical thresholds today, but are expected to fall below 35 percent
for several hours both Friday and Saturday afternoons. However, winds
on Friday and Saturday will diminish and ERC values will remain low
so no Red Flag conditions are anticipated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  76  57  77  57 /  70   0   0   0
FMY  80  58  80  58 /  50   0   0   0
GIF  79  54  77  54 /  70   0   0   0
SRQ  78  57  80  57 /  60   0   0   0
BKV  76  48  78  48 /  80   0   0   0
SPG  74  61  75  62 /  70   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk from 8 AM EDT this morning through Friday
     morning for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal
     Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT
     Friday for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters
     from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay
     waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to
     60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to
     60 NM.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Close
DECISION SUPPORT/CLIMATE...Delerme


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