Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
000
FXUS62 KTBW 280755
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
355 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 355 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms will
continue to move across the area this morning ahead of the cold
front. This front will exit the region by early this afternoon
with northwest winds behind it ushering in cooler drier air to
end the week. High pressure will settle over the area Friday and
then shift east out into the Atlantic Ocean over the weekend, but
continue to ridge west across the Florida peninsula. Fair dry
weather is expected through the weekend with comfortable
temperatures and humidity levels. Early next week the high
pressure ridge will begin to drift south as the next cold front
associated with a storm system moving across the eastern U.S.
approaches the region. Winds will shift to southeast to south
bringing increasing humidity with a chance of showers and a few
thunderstorms arriving by midweek as the cold front moves into
the area.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 355 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Areas of MVFR/local IFR conditions will be possible this morning
as scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms move
across the area ahead of a cold front. This front will exit the
region by this afternoon with VFR conditions prevailing as breezy
northwest winds at 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts usher in drier
air. Winds will shift to north and diminish to around 10 knots after
sunset.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 355 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A cold front will sweep across the waters this morning preceded by
showers and a few thunderstorms. Behind the boundary robust
northwest to north winds will setup and continue through tonight.
Winds and seas will subside Friday and remain below headline
criteria through the weekend. Early next week southeast to south
winds will begin to increase as the next cold front approaches
from the northwest.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 355 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
A cold front will move across the region this morning preceded by
showers and a few thunderstorms. Breezy northwest winds behind the
front will usher in cooler drier air and lead to high dispersion
values this afternoon. Relative humidity values will remain above
critical thresholds today, but are expected to fall below 35 percent
for several hours both Friday and Saturday afternoons. However, winds
on Friday and Saturday will diminish and ERC values will remain low
so no Red Flag conditions are anticipated.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 76 57 77 57 / 70 0 0 0
FMY 80 58 80 58 / 50 0 0 0
GIF 79 54 77 54 / 70 0 0 0
SRQ 78 57 80 57 / 60 0 0 0
BKV 76 48 78 48 / 80 0 0 0
SPG 74 61 75 62 / 70 0 0 0
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk from 8 AM EDT this morning through Friday
morning for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal
Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory from 8 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT
Friday for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters
from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay
waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to
60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to
60 NM.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Close
DECISION SUPPORT/CLIMATE...Delerme