Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FXUS64 KMOB 230940
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
440 AM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.NEAR TERM /Now Through Monday night/...After an active weather day
yesterday, should see much more tranquil conditions today. Large
mid/upper level low pressure seen in Water Vapor imagery this
morning over western Tennessee will drift only slowly east to middle
Tennessee through tonight. Occluded surface low will also remain in
the same general location. The attendant surface frontal boundary
that is currently just east of our forecast will continue to move
east away from our area through tonight, with slightly cooler and
drier air moving in from the west. Some residual mid level moisture
will continue to rotate east across our area on the south side of
the upper low today and tonight, maintaining the mostly cloudy
skies through the period. Also could possibly see some light
sprinkles over northern portions of the forecast area today, but
little to no additional rainfall accumulations expected across the
area. High`s today in the lower 70s for most locations. Lows
tonight ranging from the mid 50s over inland areas to the upper
50s and near 60 right along the coast. 12/DS

.SHORT TERM /Tuesday Through Wednesday night/...Will start the
short term with a complex occluded surface frontal low extending
from Kentucky to the Carolinas Tuesday. The low is expected to
lift northeastward across the Mid Atlantic Tuesday night and
Wednesday. As additional mid level energy rounds the base of the
long wave trof positioned to the east, may be enough to squeeze
out a small chance of a passing light shower in any lingering
wrap around moisture on the southwest side of low to our
northeast. As best energy lifts away going into Tuesday night and
Wednesday, the flow aloft flattens briefly. This leads to a small
period of rain free weather. The next system over the plains moves
quickly across the Lower MS River Valley, bringing approach of
next in a series of fronts late Wednesday night and a chance
showers along and west of I-65. Daily highs a few degrees below
normal. Overnight lows near seasonal means. /10

.LONG TERM /Thursday Through Sunday/...Southern stream positive
tilt upper trof pivots quickly east over the central Gulf coast
allowing the passage of cold front. With instability looking to
be low, will call for only a modest chance of showers with
Thursday`s front. On its heels is yet another quickly passing
front on Friday and a slight chance of showers. In the wake of
this front, high pressure dominates from the Great Lakes,
southward to the northern Gulf bringing a nice spring weekend.
Daily highs/lows remain below climatology during the medium range.
/10

&&

.MARINE...A cold front will be moving off to the east of the coastal
waters this morning with a moderate westerly wind flow expected for
the next several days. A reinforcing front will move east across the
marine area Tuesday night, with a light to moderate northwest to
northerly flow then expected for the remainder of the week. Little
change in seas through early Wednesday, with seas subsiding somewhat
through the end of the week. 12/DS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      75  57  76  56  78  58  74  55 /   0   0  10   0   0  20  50   0
Pensacola   74  60  76  59  77  60  74  57 /   0  10  10   0   0  10  50  10
Destin      72  62  72  61  75  62  73  59 /  10  10  10   0   0  10  40  10
Evergreen   75  56  76  54  77  56  73  52 /  10  10  20   0   0  20  50  10
Waynesboro  73  54  73  53  76  55  71  52 /  10  10  10   0  10  30  50   0
Camden      73  56  72  54  75  55  70  52 /  20  10  20   0  10  30  50  10
Crestview   77  56  77  55  78  57  75  52 /  10  10  20   0   0  10  50  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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