Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 270509
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1209 AM CDT Sun May 27 2018

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

VFR conditions are expected through the entire TAF period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 622 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect VFR conditions at the terminals tonight and Sunday.

21

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 245 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

This morning`s ARW and occasionally the HRRR have hinted at a few
storms across the southeast portions of the area this afternoon
and evening, in an area where visible satellite showed a little
bit of ACCAS this morning. Its also pretty close to the moisture
axis the storm last followed. Still think that convection is
unlikely, but hard to rule it out completely. Will add a mention
of isolated convection to areas southeast of a Brady to Menard to
Sonora line through sunset. Otherwise, hot and dry to continue.
Approaching the 100 degree mark in some areas this afternoon, and
all indications are that it will be hotter on Sunday. Lots of
locations to see highs in the 100 to 103 range.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

The main story going into the last week of May will continue to
the very hot temperatures. The upper level ridge remains centered
over West Central Texas next week...between an upper low over the
Great Basin and a low pressure system over the eastern Gulf of
Mexico. Periodic disturbances rounding the crest of the ridge will
generate scattered showers and thunderstorms across the southern
and central Plains...with any convection looking to remain well
north of the forecast area. Otherwise, high temperatures each
afternoon will approach or exceed 100 degrees. The hottest days of
the week look to be on Wednesday and Thursday...when 850 MB
temperatures rise to 31-32 C across the western half of the area.
This translates to surface temperatures in the 100-105 range.
Needless to say, the heat is on with not much rain in sight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 100  72  98  73 /   5   0   0   5
San Angelo 103  73 101  75 /   5   0   0   5
Junction 100  72 100  73 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood  98  71  96  72 /   0   0   0   5
Sweetwater 103  73  99  74 /   5   0   0   5
Ozona      102  72 100  74 /   5   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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