Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS52 KILM 260757
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
357 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Fair conditions today will be followed by showers and a few
thunderstorms late tonight and early Friday, as a low pressure
system tracks from northern Georgia to southern Virginia
overnight. A stalled front inland, Friday and Saturday, will be
kicked offshore by Canadian high pressure before sunrise Sunday.
This will usher in a drying trend, with slight cooling Sunday
and Monday, followed by warming through mid week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate inland, low at the coast.


NCZ105>110-270000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
357 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            50           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          77           58           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      SE  5        SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  6        S  6         SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.07         0.03
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             71/1100      2100         71/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        51           100          49
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7360                      6930
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      W 14
Ventilation rate      95680                     97020
ADI early             25 Fair      32 Fair      59 Gen good
ADI late              47 Gen good  7 poor       68 Good
Max LVORI early       10           7            8
Max LVORI late        2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-270000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
357 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            70           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          77           56           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        SE  6        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  6        S  6         SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.10         0.03
Precip duration                    2            1
Inversion             70/1100      2100         70/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        50           100          48
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7290                      7650
Transport wnd (mph)   S 12                      W 14
Ventilation rate      87480                     107100
ADI early             18 Gen poor  39 Fair      49 Gen good
ADI late              40 Fair      5 Very poor  67 Good
Max LVORI early       9            5            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 92 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 37 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-270000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
357 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            40           30
Precip type           None         Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          79           57           77
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        S  7         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  7        S  6         SW  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.01
Precip duration                    1            1
Inversion             71/1100      2100         71/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        49           100          47
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   6720                      7410
Transport wnd (mph)   S 14                      W 14
Ventilation rate      94080                     103740
ADI early             44 Gen good  41 Gen good  56 Gen good
ADI late              59 Gen good  7 poor       74 Good
Max LVORI early       9            5            9
Max LVORI late        1            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 83 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-270000-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
357 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            60           20
Precip type           None         Tstms        Showers
LAL                   1            2            2
Min/Max Temp          78           56           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  3        S  7         SW  7
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         S  6         W  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.12         0.01
Precip duration                    2            1
Inversion             71/1100      2100         69/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        48           100          45
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7160                      7490
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      W 14
Ventilation rate      71600                     104860
ADI early             30 Fair      23 Fair      50 Gen good
ADI late              35 Fair      5 Very poor  73 Good
Max LVORI early       8            4            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 33 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-270000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
357 AM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           80           30
Precip type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            2            2
Min/Max Temp          78           56           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NE  4        SE  6        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  5        S  5         W  8
Precip amount         0.01         0.22         0.03
Precip duration       0            4            1
Inversion             69/1100      2100         67/1100
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        47           100          46
DSI                   3                         3
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   7330                      7950
Transport wnd (mph)   S  9                      W 13
Ventilation rate      65970                     103350
ADI early             28 Fair      26 Fair      50 Gen good
ADI late              31 Fair      4 Very poor  64 Good
Max LVORI early       7            5            9
Max LVORI late        2            9            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 32 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH 89 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 34 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

8



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.