Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 232010
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
410 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

...Wet Weather Continues...

.DISCUSSION...A slow moving low pressure system will gradually move
from Western TN to the Appalachians through Tuesday evening
before moving east of the area on Wednesday. This system will
continue to bring chances for showers to the area through midweek.
The best chance for showers will be from tonight into Tuesday
evening. As the system approaches, winds will be gusty at times
through this evening. Also, a few thunderstorms are possible early
this evening, mainly near the TN border. Thunderstorms will be
possible south of I-64 on Tuesday. Rainfall through midweek should
range from a half of an inch to an inch and a quarter.

KYZ068-079-083-084-240915-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
410 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Chance precip (%)     90           90           50           0
Precip type           tstms        tstms        showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   61-66 (-2)   47-52        60-65
Rh % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  67-72 (+11)  95-100       56-61
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    SE 2-6                    NW 3-7
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       E 7-11 G17   W 2-6 G14    NW 2-6       NW 4-8
Precip duration       5            5            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.57         0.26         0.05         0.00
LAL                   3            2            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 4500                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  9                     NW 15
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  37241                     46410
ADI Early             20 Gen Poor  32 Fair      8 Poor       30 Fair
ADI Late              13 Gen Poor  33 Fair      22 Fair      39 Fair
Max LVORI Early       5            5            6            5
Max LVORI Late        6            4            7            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION
INDEX IS MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-240915-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
410 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        Cloudy       Cloudy       MCldy
Chance precip (%)     60           80           40           40
Precip type           showers      showers      showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   60-65 (+3)   47-52        59-64
Rh % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+14)  65-70 (+19)  95-100       58-63
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    E 4-8 G15                 NW 3-7
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       E 7-11 G19   NE 2-6 G15   Lgt/Var      NW 3-7
Precip duration       2            3            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.18         0.24         0.03         0.01
LAL                   1            2            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3000                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                SE  9                     NW 16
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  24555                     52998
ADI Early             21 Fair      27 Fair      5 Very Poor  31 Fair
ADI Late              27 Fair      25 Fair      16 Gen Poor  43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early       4            4            6            5
Max LVORI Late        4            4            7            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION
INDEX IS MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.

$$

KYZ069-111-112-114-240915-
Jackson-Lee-Breathitt-Owsley-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, Beattyville, Jackson,
and Booneville
410 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Chance precip (%)     60           80           40           40
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   60-65 (0)    47-52        59-64
Rh % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   66-71 (+12)  95-100       55-60
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    E 2-6                     NW 3-7
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       E 5-9 G17    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NW 3-7
Precip duration       2            5            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.22         0.31         0.04         0.01
LAL                   1            2            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 4000                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)                S  8                      NW 14
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  27609                     42005
ADI Early             22 Fair      20 Gen Poor  5 Very Poor  28 Fair
ADI Late              22 Fair      30 Fair      20 Gen Poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            5            6            5
Max LVORI Late        5            4            7            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION
INDEX IS MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.

$$

KYZ080-085>088-115>117-240915-
Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Perry-Clay-Leslie-
Including the cities of London, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Hazard,
Manchester, and Hyden
410 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Chance precip (%)     70           80           50           40
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    61-66 (+2)   46-51        60-65
Rh % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   64-69 (+7)   95-100       55-60
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    SE 3-7 G15                NW 3-7
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       SE 7-11 G20  Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NW 3-7
Precip duration       2            6            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.24         0.35         0.07         0.03
LAL                   2            2            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 4500                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)                SW  8                     NW 13
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  33810                     30573
ADI Early             31 Fair      29 Fair      5 Very Poor  26 Fair
ADI Late              21 Fair      33 Fair      21 Fair      30 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            5            7            5
Max LVORI Late        5            3            7            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION
INDEX IS MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.

$$

KYZ110-113-118-120-240915-
Floyd-Knott-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of Prestonsburg, Wheelwright, Hindman,
Pippa Passes, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City,
Pikeville, and South Williamson
410 PM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Chance precip (%)     40           80           50           50
Precip type           showers      tstms        showers      showers
Temp (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   61-66 (+3)   46-51        59-64
Rh % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+14)  59-64 (+10)  95-100       60-65
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    SE 5-9 G20                W 3-7
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       SE 9-13 G23  E 2-6 G16    Lgt/Var      NW 3-7
Precip duration       1            3            1            1
Precip begin                       Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.30         0.11         0.07
LAL                   1            2            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 3200                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 22                     NW 14
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  60950                     32359
ADI Early             44 Gen Good  53 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  28 Fair
ADI Late              35 Fair      31 Fair      18 Gen Poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI Early       3            4            7            5
Max LVORI Late        4            5            8            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION
INDEX IS MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$
GREIF



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