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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 220830
FWFMRX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
430 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
.DISCUSSION...
An upper level storm system will move from the southern Plains to
the Tennessee Valley over the next 24 to 36 hours. Increasing rain
chances can be expected today through Monday and even into Tuesday
before the system departs. In addition to the rain, windy
conditions will develop over the area beginning tonight and
lasting through Monday, especially across the higher elevations
and adjacent foothills.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230930-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
430 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 65-70 (-2) 45-50 (+4) 57-62
RH % (24h trend) 31-36 (+9) 80-85 (+19) 54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 5 SE 16 G37
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 8 G20 SE 10 G26 E 16 G40
Precip type NONE showers showers
Chance precip (%) 0 40 80
Precip duration 1 5
Precip begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.20 0.43
LAL 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 4 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5100 4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3000 2300
Transport wnd (mph) SE 12 SE 37
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61200 162800
Dispersion 31 Fair 72 Good
Max LVORI 3 3
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 6 SE 20 G37
33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 10 G20 SE 13 G26 E 20 G40
Remarks...None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the 50s
to mid 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to mid 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 50s to 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230930-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
430 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud cover MCldy Cloudy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 59-64 (-5) 42-47 (+2) 54-59
RH % (24h trend) 38-43 (+13) 83-88 (+17) 56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 8 G23 SE 22 G52
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 10 G27 SE 14 G42 SE 23 G55
Precip type showers showers showers
Chance precip (%) 20 50 70
Precip duration 1 2 3
Precip begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.01 0.29 0.50
LAL 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4700 4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 1900 1700
Transport wnd (mph) SE 17 SE 47
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79900 206800
Dispersion 27 Fair 65 Good
Max LVORI 3 3
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 10 G23 SE 27 G52
33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 13 G27 SE 19 G42 SE 29 G55
Remarks...None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. Southeast winds 5 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph shifting to the
southwest early in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ072-074-230930-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
430 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud cover MCldy Cloudy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 57-62 (-9) 45-50 (+3) 57-62
RH % (24h trend) 43-48 (+14) 85-90 (+16) 54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 8 G21 SE 24 G67
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 11 G34 SE 18 G52 SE 22 G56
Precip type showers showers showers
Chance precip (%) 40 70 80
Precip duration 1 3 5
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.10 0.57 0.48
LAL 1 1 2
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4200 4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 1200 1400
Transport wnd (mph) SE 20 SE 43
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84000 189200
Dispersion 15 Gen poor 46 Gen good
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 10 G21 SE 30 G67
33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 14 G34 SE 23 G52 SE 27 G56
Remarks...None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the lower 40s to mid 50s. South
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s to
lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ087-102-230930-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
430 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud cover Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 59-64 (-9) 49-54 (+5) 62-67
RH % (24h trend) 49-54 (+21) 84-89 (+6) 56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 11 G29 SE 21 G50
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 13 G35 SE 18 G47 SE 16 G43
Precip type showers showers tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 80 80
Precip duration 3 7 5
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.24 0.76 0.45
LAL 1 1 2
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3500 4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 1400 2100
Transport wnd (mph) SE 24 SE 30
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84000 126000
Dispersion 28 Fair 54 Gen good
Max LVORI 3 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 14 G29 SE 27 G50
33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 17 G35 SE 23 G47 SE 20 G43
Remarks...None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. North winds up to
10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
NCZ060-061-230930-
Nantahala National Forest-
430 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud cover Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 56-61 (-9) 46-51 (+5) 59-64
RH % (24h trend) 52-57 (+22) 90-95 (-1) 59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 10 G26 SE 18 G46
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 13 G34 SE 17 G43 SE 15 G40
Precip type showers showers tstms
Chance precip (%) 60 80 80
Precip duration 2 7 5
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.22 0.90 0.60
LAL 1 1 2
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3500 4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 1200 1800
Transport wnd (mph) SE 21 SE 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73500 114800
Dispersion 21 Fair 41 Gen good
Max LVORI 5 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 12 G26 SE 23 G46
33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 17 G34 SE 22 G43 SE 19 G40
Remarks...None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows near 50. Southeast winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west early in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. North winds up to
10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230930-
East Tennessee District East-
430 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud cover MCldy Cloudy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 66-71 (-3) 46-51 (+4) 60-65
RH % (24h trend) 34-39 (+11) 84-89 (+14) 53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 6 G19 E 16 G39
20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 8 G22 E 11 G28 E 17 G40
Precip type showers showers showers
Chance precip (%) 20 60 70
Precip duration 1 2 3
Precip begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.01 0.36 0.38
LAL 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4700 4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3200 2600
Transport wnd (mph) SE 14 SE 36
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65800 147600
Dispersion 39 Fair 80 Good
Max LVORI 3 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 7 G19 E 20 G39
33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 11 G22 E 14 G28 E 21 G40
Remarks...None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph shifting to
the southwest early in the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s
to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230930-
East Tennessee District West-
430 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud cover MCldy Cloudy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 64-69 (-6) 49-54 (+4) 63-68
RH % (24h trend) 40-45 (+15) 82-87 (+12) 54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR E 14 G35
20ft Wind-PM(mph) E 7 G23 E 11 G27 E 14 G35
Precip type showers showers tstms
Chance precip (%) 50 70 80
Precip duration 1 5 5
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.09 0.50 0.35
LAL 1 1 2
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3900 3900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2600 2700
Transport wnd (mph) SE 15 SE 28
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 109200
Dispersion 33 Fair 63 Good
Max LVORI 3 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) E 5 E 18 G35
33ft wind-PM(mph) E 9 G23 E 13 G27 E 17 G35
Remarks...None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
East winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s.
South winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest early in
the afternoon.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s
to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s
to upper 60s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ077-079>085-097>101-230930-
Cumberland District South-
430 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018 /330 AM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018/
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud cover Cloudy Cloudy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 59-64 (-9) 50-55 (+3) 63-68
RH % (24h trend) 52-57 (+24) 88-93 (+14) 61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 7 G23 SE 12 G33
20ft Wind-PM(mph) E 11 G28 E 14 G36 SE 10 G30
Precip type showers showers tstms
Chance precip (%) 80 90 80
Precip duration 4 8 5
Precip begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.40 0.84 0.36
LAL 1 1 2
LASI/Haines 2 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3200 3400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2000 2200
Transport wnd (mph) SE 23 SE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73600 61200
Dispersion 39 Fair 36 Fair
Max LVORI 3 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 9 G23 SE 16 G33
33ft wind-PM(mph) E 14 G28 E 17 G36 SE 12 G30
Remarks...None.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 60s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
- National Weather Service
- Grand Rapids, MI Weather Forecast Office
- 4899 Tim Dougherty Drive SE
- Grand Rapids, MI 49512-4034
- 616-949-0643
- Page Author: GRR Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: w-grr.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Mar 8th, 2018 20:36 UTC