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975
FNUS74 KBMX 220046
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Rendalia B, C, D...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
746 PM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 CDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Rain starting time will be difficult. Models continue to bring in
scattered showers to central and eastern areas overnight, but we
have a little bit to go before we are moist enough. The rain chances
overnight into Sunday morning after 1 am are about 50/50, but
the more appreciable rain amounts will hold off until midday Sunday
and beyond.

Rain chances return tonight, with widespread rainfall Sunday into
Sunday night. A moist air mass will linger over the area for the
first half of the upcoming week.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........78     87     88     96     99
Weather cov.....                     CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     10     10     30     50
Temp............66     62     62     61     59
RH..............51     60     66     76     83
20 ft wind......E 6    E 7    E 8    E 8    E 9
20 ft wind gust.10     10     10     12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....2100   800    1200   1500   1300
Transport wind..SE 17  E 14   SE 18  SE 18  SE 15
Dispersion idx..34     15     16     21     13
LVORI...........1      2      2      3      4

.SUNDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........99     100    99     98     100    100
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50     50     70     70     100    100
Temp............59     57     62     65     65     64
RH..............86     88     84     77     78     80
20 ft wind......E 10   E 10   E 10   E 10   E 10   E 10
20 ft wind gust.17     17     21     20     19     19
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   1200   1400   1600   1600   1400
Transport wind..SE 15  SE 17  SE 21  SE 21  SE 21  SE 20
Dispersion idx..13     15     23     35     35     30
LVORI...........4      4      3      3      3      3

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........100    99     99     98     97     94
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
CWR.............100    100    100    100    90     90
Temp............62     61     60     59     58     59
RH..............84     89     95     97     98     98
20 ft wind......E 10   E 10   E 9    E 9    E 9    SE 10
20 ft wind gust.22     23     22     20     20     21
Mix hgt (ft)....900    700    900    1200   1700   1900
Transport wind..SE 18  SE 18  SE 20  S 17   S 13   S 8
Dispersion idx..22     19     24     15     14     9
LVORI...........3      4      5      5      5      9

$$
Forecaster...Linhares
Requested by...Scott Layfield
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807246.1/BMX