Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 210137
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for St. Augustine...BLM
National Weather Service Santa Teresa NM/El Paso TX
737 PM MDT Fri Apr 20 2018

Forecast is based on request time of 2000 MDT on April 20.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the El Paso
National Weather Service Forecast Office.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
.FIRE WEATHER...
Red Flag conditions will prevail in the lowlands into the
evening. For Saturday northwesterly winds will bring dry
conditions but wind speeds will remain below critical levels.
A weak cold front will also bring slightly cooler temperatures
on Sunday with possible gusty east winds especially along
western slopes.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 0 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (100000 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........3      3      7      7      7
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............56     54     52     50     48
RH..............20     24     27     30     33
20 ft wind......W 20   W 17   W 17   NW 16  NW 14
20 ft wind gust.30     30     30     30     25
Mix hgt (ft)....2200   2200   BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
Transport wind..W 16   W 9    W 10   W 9    NW 8
Haines index....5      4      3      2      3
Vent Rate.......FAIR   FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (42100 knot-ft) increasing to very good
                    (132200 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      1      1      7      7      7
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............48     51     55     60     65     70
RH..............34     30     26     22     18     15
20 ft wind......N 12   N 8    N 7    NW 7   NW 8   NW 9
20 ft wind gust.25     15     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   4200   4200   9900   9900   9900
Transport wind..NW 7   N 10   N 12   NW 13  NW 16  NW 16
Haines index....4      3      2      2      2      2
Vent Rate.......FAIR   FAIR   FAIR   VYGD   VYGD   VYGD

$$
Forecaster...ROGASH
Requested by...USDA
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1807229.0/EPZ
.EMAIL nmsdc@fs.fed.us


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