Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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031
FNUS74 KFWD 251534
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for prescribed burn...ccvfd
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1034 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and mostly dry conditions are expected at the fire location
today, although a brief thunderstorm in the vicinity cannot be ruled
out. Thunderstorms moving south from Oklahoma this morning are
expected to dissipate prior to reaching the fire. However, these
storms may produce a gust front that could affect wind direction
briefly late this morning or early this afternoon. This gust front
may also cause new thunderstorms to develop during the peak
heating hours of the afternoon, although coverage is expected to
be isolated to scattered. Late this evening and overnight, a
complex of storms is expected to arrive from the northwest that
is expected to move through the area.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000-5800 ft AGL increasing to 7500-8000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 4 mph.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42  48  53  43  32  33  33
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH
Temp............86  89  91  93  94  94  95
RH..............59  50  47  41  40  39  37
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   3   3   3   3   3   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 5.8 7.6 7.7 7.8 8.0 7.5
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  13  9   9   9   10  12
Haines index....4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    late evening and early morning. Slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL decreasing to 300-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 5 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........34  35  43  52  60  66  72  78  68  68  68  57
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Temp............94  91  88  84  81  79  77  77  76  75  74  72
RH..............37  42  47  55  60  64  69  71  71  71  71  79
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   9   9   8   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.                    10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   5   5   4   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...7.0 6.5 4.5 2.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  17  17  18  18  18  17  15  14  13
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......100-1400 ft AGL increasing to 5600-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 4 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  25  23  22  21  20  19  18  20  22  24  25
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Temp............71  71  72  76  81  85  88  93  95  96  96  96
RH..............84  90  87  79  67  59  52  44  40  39  36  38
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.8 4.2 5.6 6.0 6.5 7.0 6.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  13  14  14  14  14  14  15  16  17  18
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Stalley
Requested by...james miller
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810655.0/FWD
.DELDT 05/25/18
.EMAIL miller150041@gmail.com



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