Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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000
FNUS74 KLIX 261516
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for CPT GB-03-05N...U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1016 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

...REMARKS...
We have decided to add an adjacent burn unit, so we are requesting an
updated Spot Forecast.

...................
QUESTIONS:
...................

1. Please include a Fog Potential Statement for tonight and tomorrow
morning,  specifying Intensity of Fog and Areal Coverage.

Some fog development is possible on Friday morning. Coverage will
likely be patchy and visibilities could be reduced to 3 miles at times.

....................
2. What time is rain most likely to begin at this location today,
and how much rain is expected during the first two three-hour
periods after the onset of rain?  As of 9:25 AM update, there
has been no rain recorded at GRBM6, yet.  There were light sprinkles at
KPQL, but no measurable rain. SHCM6 has recorded 0.02 rain in
the last hour.

The threat of showers has diminished and only a 20 percent chance of rain
exist through noon. However, the higher chances of rain have moved east
of the site.

.....................
3. What are the chances of the rain being accompanied by lightning and
downdrafts?

The strongest activity has moved east. Lightning and downdrafts
are not expected.

....................
4. What are the chances of a seabreeze occurring at this location today, and if
so, during what timeframe, and what impact will it have on wind speed and
direction?

No. Winds will be out of the west or northwest all day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance of
                    showers in the morning, then slight chance of
                    showers early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Dewpoint............58 decreasing to 54 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft).......West winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                   expected near thunderstorms early in the
                   morning.
Mixing height (m)...122-640 meters AGL increasing to 1158-1494
                    meters AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West 4 to 8 meters/second.
LVORI...............3.
Rainfall amount.....0.07 inches.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  59  28  18  10  4   3
Weather cov.....CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............69  70  72  73  73  74  73
Dewpoint........59  57  56  56  55  54  54
RH..............66  61  57  55  51  51  51
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  13  14  13  12
Mix hgt (km)....0.6 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.5
Trans wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   WNW WNW
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   8   8   8   7   7
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Dewpoint............53.
Wind (20 ft).......North winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height (m)...1494 meters AGL decreasing to 152 meters AGL.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 4 to 7 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4   7   7   7   7   7   7   10  11  14  15  20
Weather cov.....                                        PTY PTY
Weather type....                                        FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............72  70  67  64  62  60  59  58  57  56  55  54
Dewpoint........53  54  53  54  54  54  53  53  53  52  52  52
RH..............51  53  61  70  75  81  80  83  90  90  93  96
20 FT wind dir..WNW WNW WNW NW  NW  NW  NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (km)....1.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Trans wind dir..WNW NW  NW  NW  NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
Trans spd (m/s).7   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Dewpoint............54.
Wind (20 ft).......Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                   winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                   afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...152-183 meters AGL increasing to 1494-1707
                    meters AGL.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 3 to 4 meters/second.
LVORI...............5.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........30  35  37  41  43  45  50  53  53  52  52  50
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY                 SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG                 RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............54  54  56  60  63  67  71  73  74  74  74  74
Dewpoint........53  52  53  54  54  54  53  53  53  54  55  56
RH..............100 100 100 83  75  65  57  51  49  48  48  50
20 FT wind dir..NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5
Trans wind dir..NNW NNW NNW NNW N   N   N   NNW NNW NNW WNW WNW
Trans spd (m/s).4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........8   5   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. East
winds around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...NWS NEW ORLEANS
Requested by...Scott Saucier
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807881.2/LIX
.DELDT 04/26/18
.EMAIL SCOTT_SAUCIER@FWS.GOV



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