Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 261441
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Camp Ripley Center Range South...Department of Military Affairs
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
941 AM CDT Thu Apr 26 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather watch for Todd and Stearns Co 1 PM to 7 PM. Cold
front exiting the area this morning with clearing sky and gusty
north to northwest winds and humidity levels drop to 25 to 30
percent in the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming sunny.
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 58.
RH..................56 percent at ignition...Min 27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 11 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3200-5000
                    ft AGL increasing to 5900-7300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 21 to 29 mph.
Mixing winds........Northwest 21 to 29 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /57100 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /105100 knot-ft/ increasing to
                    excellent (130200 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............50  52  54  55  57  58  58  58  58
RH..............56  50  41  40  33  29  27  27  27
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..11  12  14  13  14  15  15  13  11
20 FT wind gust.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  20
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 4.1 5.0 5.9 6.2 6.5 6.7 7.0 7.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.21  23  24  25  26  28  28  29  28
Mixing wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
Mixing wind spd.21  23  24  25  26  28  28  29  28
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100057  82  105 130 142 155 161 175 174

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear then becoming mostly cloudy then
                    becoming partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 38.
RH..................Max 64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming west 5 to
                    7 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......6300-7500 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 26 mph becoming west 7 to 16
                    mph in the late evening and overnight, then
                    shifting to the northwest around 20 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing winds........Northwest 20 to 26 mph becoming west 7 to 16
                    mph in the late evening and overnight, then
                    shifting to the northwest around 20 mph early
                    in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (132600 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    to fair (1500-26800 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............57     47     43     40     38     39
RH..............27     40     47     52     50     59
20 ft wind......NW 11  NW 6   W 3    SW 3   SW 6   W 6
20 ft wind gust.20            5      5      10     15
Mix hgt (ft)....7500   5100   2700   300    300    300
Transport wind..NW 26  W 20   W 12   SW 7   SW 9   W 16
Mixing wind.....NW 26  W 20   W 12   SW 7   SW 9   W 16
Haines index....4      4      5      5      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/1000173    87     27     2      2      4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 55.
RH..................Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL increasing to 6900-8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 22 to 31 mph shifting to the north 32
                    to 35 mph late in the morning.
Mixing winds........Northwest 22 to 31 mph shifting to the north 32
                    to 35 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (4800-34000 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (194100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to or moderate.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............42     49     55     55     54     55
RH..............60     50     40     38     38     35
20 ft wind......NW 9   NW 14  NW 16  NW 15  N 15   N 13
20 ft wind gust.15     25     30     30     30     25
Mix hgt (ft)....300    2800   5400   8000   7600   7100
Transport wind..NW 22  NW 28  NW 31  N 33   N 35   N 33
Mixing wind.....NW 22  NW 28  NW 31  N 33   N 35   N 33
Haines index....5      4      4      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10005      68     147    233    228    207

$$
Forecaster...WFO MPX
Requested by...Adam Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807962.0/MPX
.EMAIL adam.p.thompson.nfg@mail.mil



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