Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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567
FNUS71 KRNK 231224
FWSRNK

Spot Forecast for Coffee Pot...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
824 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Clouds will increase and lower today, with rain moving after
2-3pm. The 20 foot winds will stay out of the southeast at 5 to 10
mph, with gusts to 15 mph through the day, some occasional gusts
to 20 mph this afternoon. The more substantial rain does not
arrive until after 7pm this evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    early in the afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent increasing to 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph, gusts to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing winds........Southeast 8 to 16 mph increasing to 20 to 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................18 increasing to 72.
Haines Index........2 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  68  75  83  91  98  100 100 100
Weather cov.....                SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   10  10  10  20  30  30  40  50
Temp............52  53  54  56  58  61  61  61  61
RH..............61  59  56  54  50  47  47  49  50
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   8   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  11  12  15  14  12  11  11  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.7
Mixng wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Mixng wind spd..8   13  16  20  22  23  24  25  24
LVORI...........3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............18  33  37  47  57  65  70  73  73
Haines index....3   3   4   3   3   2   2   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain.
CWR (0.01 in).......60 percent increasing to 100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL decreasing to 1800 ft AGL late in
                    the evening.
Mixing winds........Southeast 15 to 24 mph shifting to the east 14
                    to 20 mph late in the evening.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................67 decreasing to 22.
Haines Index........2 to 3 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........100    100    100    100    100    100
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............60     70     80     80     90     90
Temp............59     55     52     50     49     48
RH..............56     69     79     84     85     85
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 6   E 6    E 6    E 7    E 7
20 ft wind gust.10     8      10     10     11     11
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   3100   2500   2100   2000   1800
Mixing wind......SE 24  S 21   SE 15  SE 15  SE 20  E 18
LVORI...........1      3      3      3      3      4
ADI.............67     27     20     20     22     20
Haines index....3      2      2      2      2      2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain.
CWR (0.01 in).......90 percent decreasing to 80 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........East 17 to 24 mph.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................20 increasing to 35 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 43 in the late morning and
                    afternoon decreasing to 37 late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........100    100    100    100    99     99
Weather cov.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............90     90     90     90     90     90
Temp............47     47     49     51     52     53
RH..............86     87     85     81     80     79
20 ft wind......E 7    E 7    E 7    E 7    E 6    E 6
20 ft wind gust.11     13     14     13     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   1600   1900   2000   2000   2000
Mixing wind......E 17   E 20   E 23   E 24   E 22   E 21
LVORI...........4      4      4      3      3      3
ADI.............20     33     43     47     42     39
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2      3

$$
Forecaster...Perry
Requested by...Nick Jeros
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807163.5/RNK
.DELDT 04/23/18



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