Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FNUS73 KUNR 161441
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for JFSP Research Rx...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
841 AM MDT Wed May 16 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Warm temepratures are expected both today and
tomorrow. Isolated thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and
evening. Smoke dispersal today will be warm, then increase to
excellent Thursday as stronger transport winds develop.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South around 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......9600 to 10100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South around 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100 to 600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................25 percent.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......9100 to 9600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Brian Daunt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810031.1/UNR
.EMAIL bdaunt@fs.fed.us


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