Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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984 FXHW01 KWNH 210656 PMDHI Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 256 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2026 Valid 00Z Wed 22 Jul 2026 - 00Z Wed 29 Jul 2026 Recent guidance solutions have overall been reasonably well clustered for this period and a composite blend seems to still offer a solid forecast basis with good predictability. A surface high well to the northeast of the state will favor seasonal island trades into midweek. High pressure will then build and bridge to the north of the state later this week and the weekend to support an uptick in trades and breezy flow. This pattern will focus limited moisture and rainfall chances into mainly windward terrain, with remaining areas of state in an otherwise relatively tranquil weather pattern under mean ridging aloft. Meanwhile, Fausto has now reached Hurricane strength over the tropical eastern Pacific and remains forecast by the National Hurricane Center to track to the northeast of the state early next week to interupt the weather pattern as a potent maritime threat. Schichtel