501
FNUS75 KGJT 190824
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for D1 Pondo...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
224 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on May 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The chance for showers and thunderstorms continues
today through Monday as a boundary stalls overhead. Gusty outflow
winds and small hail will be more likely with today`s storms
compared to wetting rain. The potential for wetting rain increases
on Monday as additional moisture works into the region with
preliminary precipitation totals of 0.20 to 0.40 inches expected.
Even so, gusty winds and small hail will remain a threat with
storms.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms through the day.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph through mid morning,
                    shifting to west 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around
                    25 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 until 1700, then 2.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 10100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph shifting to west 20 to 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Clearing Index......110 increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) with brief periods
                    of partly cloudy (40-50 percent) in the evening.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms through
                    the night. Snow potentially mixing in at times.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
Max humidity........57-62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 mph decreasing to 5 mph overnight.
                    Gusts up to 25 mph in evening. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1 until 2400, then 2.
Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL decreasing to 800 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph becoming north 10 mph
                    overnight.
Clearing Index......1050 decreasing to 50 overnight.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance for showers
                    and thunderstorms throughout the day. Snow
                    potentially mixing in with showers at times in
                    the morning.
CWR.................70 percent.
Max temperature.....49-54.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........2 or very low.
LAL.................1 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 4.
Mixing height.......1120 ft AGL increasing to 2400 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 10 mph shifting to northwest 10 to 15 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Clearing Index......110 increasing to 450 in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Megan Stackhouse
Requested by...Rich Howe
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414142.5/GJT
.DELDT 05/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rich.howe@usda.gov