Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
925
FNUS53 KAPX 100907
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
507 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

...Chance for showers tonight and Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure will cross northern Michigan early
Saturday. Partly to mostly sunny skies will be seen today, along
with relatively dry conditions. But shower chances will increase
tonight, especially overnight. The chance for rain lingers into
Saturday. Humidity levels will bottom out close to 30 percent in
some areas this afternoon, though winds will be relatively light.
Lake breezes will move inland this afternoon. Humidity levels
will be higher Saturday, again with light winds.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-102030-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
507 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy frost
                    until 1200. Slight chance of rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent...except 41-46 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 8 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (606).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400. Chance of rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....56-61...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (346).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-102030-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
507 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy frost
                    until 1200. Slight chance of rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    east in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (461).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the west around
                    9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400. Chance of rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....56-61...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (248).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the north
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.14 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-102030-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
507 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (724).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400, then rain showers
                    likely.
Min Temperature.....Around 41.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....55-60...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (555).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-102030-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
507 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog and
                    frost until 1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 4 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (861).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400, then rain showers
                    likely.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (59).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.22 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1200, then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....56-61...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (743).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-102030-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
507 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy frost
                    until 1200. Slight chance of rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (804).
Mixing Height.......7200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400. Chance of rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (632).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.12 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

JZ