Text Products for FWS Issued by CTP

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA
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FNUS71 KCTP 160747
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 235 Mealman 2...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
347 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on April 16.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Sunny to partly cloudy and pleasantly warm today with low
humidity and light wind. Clouds will increase tonight with
periods of light rain on Wednesday.


.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 70.
Min Humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North 5 mph shifting to the southwest 5-10 mph
                    late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 to 20.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  4   5   6   7   9   11  13  14  16  18  21  23
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  48  47  51  53  57  60  62  64  66  68  69  70
RH................  60  63  52  50  43  39  35  31  28  26  25  24
20 FT Wind Dir....  N   N   NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   4   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
20 FT Wind Gust...          4           5   5   5   6   6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.1 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.2
Transp Wind Dir...  N   N   N   NE  E   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW
Transp Wind Spd...  6   6   5   6   6   5   6   6   7   7   7   6
LVORI.............  3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI...............  6   6   6   11  11  11  19  19  19  20  20  20
Haines Index......  5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain after 3 am. Chance of rain early in the
                    morning.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 51.
Max Humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 mph shifting to the east
                    around early in the morning.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 8.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  25  27  30  36  42  48  54  60  66  70  74  78
Weather Cov.......                                      SCH SCH CHC
Weather Type......                                      RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  69  66  62  61  60  59  57  56  55  55  54  53
RH................  26  29  35  39  46  51  55  59  61  64  64  66
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...              6   6   7   7   8   8   8   7   7
Mix Hgt (kft).....  3.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  S   SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  7   6   7   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   8   8
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  3   3   3   5   5   5   8   8   8   8   8   8
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain likely in the
                    morning, then periods of rain in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 61.
Min Humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 8 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................10 to 23.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  82  86  90  91  93  94  96  97  98  97  96  95
Weather Cov.......  CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY
Weather Type......  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  53  53  52  53  53  54  55  55  56  58  59  60
RH................  69  71  74  74  77  77  74  77  74  72  72  72
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8
20 FT Wind Gust...  7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   10  11  12
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4
Transp Wind Dir...  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  8   9   8   8   8   8   8   9   9   12  13  15
LVORI.............  3   3   3   3   4   4   3   4   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  10  10  10  10  10  10  12  12  12  23  23  23
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Eric Horsh
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411002.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ehorsh@pa.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
