Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
528 FNUS53 KDTX 131925 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 325 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024 .DISCUSSION...A cold front will drop south across the area tonight, supporting scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Low pressure will track eastward across the Ohio Valley on Tuesday. This system will support clouds and a chance of showers to southern Michigan. Weak high pressure will expand across the region Wednesday into Thursday. The next chance for rain will be with a low pressure system Friday. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-132115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 325 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Numerous showers until 2 am. Scattered thunderstorms. Scattered showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....48-52. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........87-97 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West around 10 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming north in the late evening and early morning, then becoming northeast after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain showers until 11 am, then isolated showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....56-60. 24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler. Min humidity........50-60 percent. 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1290-1790 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (273). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Min temperature.....44-50. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........77-86 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......570-770 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (50). Pcpn amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Max temperature.....60-64. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........42-52 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 15 to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2950-3450 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (525). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-132115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 325 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous showers and thunderstorms until 2 am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Min temperature.....44-50. 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. Max humidity........85-95 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming northeast in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming northeast in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain showers until 11 am, then isolated showers until 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Max temperature.....54-60. 24 hr trend......18 degrees cooler. Min humidity........54-64 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1130-1630 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (206). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Min temperature.....44-48. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........80-88 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......960-1160 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (47). Pcpn amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Max temperature.....58-64. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........49-59 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 15 to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2480-2980 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (415). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-132115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 325 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered thunderstorms until 11 pm. Scattered rain showers until 2 am. Isolated thunderstorms after 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....52-56. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming northwest in the late evening and early morning, then becoming northeast after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming northwest in the late evening and early morning, then becoming east after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated showers until 11 am, then scattered showers. Isolated thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....62-66. 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. Min humidity........57-66 percent. 24 hr trend......28 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2050-2550 ft agl. Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (264). Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in. .TUESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers until 2 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....48-52. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Max humidity........86-96 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (44). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent) until 2 pm, then partly sunny (50-60 percent). Max temperature.....64-70. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........45-55 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3770-4270 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (513). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. $$ SC