Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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000
WUUS01 KWNS 181249
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 AM CDT THU APR 18 2024

VALID TIME 181300Z - 191200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   33309118 33109470 31719660 30829775 29969890 29729962
       29879999 30240005 31289946 32019889 33229775 35389532
       36469475 37719402 38999317 39589233 40039106 40258889
       40108720 39798599 39008555 37838563 36828588 35678650
       35038723 33658949 33309118
0.05   36028980 36169063 36949251 37509286 37989282 38469245
       39149150 39419041 39068758 38588694 38008682 37158716
       36168803 36018882 36028980
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   28770219 29980180 30450146 32029998 33249874 35359622
       36989533 39409369 40249252 40599122 40888883 40848731
       40668571 39998487 38688428 37068463 35678531 34928603
       34168693 32898828 32388968 32329283 31809476 30289720
       28679846 27619919 26289967
0.15   38578786 36668768 35368802 34928829 33638953 33339109
       33279233 33119457 32469544 31359673 29869873 29509950
       29599993 29690011 29920024 30260026 31679932 32999817
       35309552 37239427 38069381 38999313 39599231 39849169
       40059104 39999002 39818915 39208819 38578786
0.30   36639168 36989252 37509287 37989279 38489244 39159156
       39409036 39178962 38758921 38208891 37628915 37078980
       36749067 36639168
SIGN   29569988 29559991 29720016 29910025 30290024 31779925
       32999814 34449642 35289552 37349411 38289280 38929147
       38989012 38768948 38238917 37818921 37208978 36869068
       36609162 35259348 34469425 33419526 31819654 30969753
       30289834 29799884 29499951 29569988
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   29150207 30050179 30490148 33159889 35439612 36929536
       38229451 39399368 40249254 40579120 40888867 40878763
       40968509 40288383 38658320 36738357 35128376 34168474
       33448666 32418960 32289290 30039701 28929787 27529884
       26039935
0.15   29539972 29610006 29870022 30270015 30929975 31289956
       32199890 33289781 35409535 37639406 38969316 39489254
       39909154 40059104 40268897 40138740 39818605 39068556
       37948554 36848584 35688650 34968738 33638948 33299113
       33249287 33119460 32249567 31149701 29799884 29529947
       29539972
0.30   36048986 36189070 36479147 36979252 37499287 38019282
       38489247 39129157 39419041 39288915 39078757 38608691
       38018681 37248712 36658751 36148806 35978880 36008941
       36048986
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    36058986 36229075 36939249 37509288 37989282 38489247
       39169144 39399038 39068755 38598691 38018682 37208714
       36698750 36148806 35988882 36058986
SLGT   29499956 29640008 29900025 30240018 30979976 32059898
       33209790 35429535 37769398 38999317 39479250 40049109
       40268879 40118727 39798599 39038558 37968553 36818585
       35748646 34968734 33668949 33329113 33129454 32499538
       31189694 30449797 29799885 29499956
MRGL   29070206 29990180 30500146 33159889 34259759 35389616
       36959536 38079461 39409369 40219256 40529151 40689038
       40878868 40878729 40968506 40288382 38648320 36738357
       35128376 34168473 33468666 32408964 32309284 31809385
       30049702 28569814 27499887 26169932
TSTM   43057960 42217938 40017966 37038040 34598103 33378132
       32568181 32428268 31988532 31488925 30649456 29849652
       28609761 27069831 25559830 99999999 29270253 29880241
       30620204 32480026 33789872 35359727 36219714 37189717
       37969728 38729700 39639622 41049413 43318908 43958659
       44888171

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W
DYR 10 ENE ARG 35 WNW UNO 35 NE SGF 40 WNW TBN 20 WSW JEF 50 ENE COU
40 NNW ALN 30 SSW HUF 40 SSW BMG 30 NE OWB 35 S OWB HOP 50 SW CKV 25
NNE MKL 25 W DYR.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW
HDO 55 ENE DRT 50 SSW JCT 30 SW JCT 30 N JCT 20 N BWD 30 NNE MWL 15
S MKO 50 NW SGF 30 NE SZL 45 S IRK 10 NE UIN 15 SSE BMI 20 ESE DNV
15 ENE IND 55 E BMG 20 SE SDF 35 ESE BWG 30 SSE BNA 20 NE MSL 35 ENE
GWO 15 SW GLH 40 SW TXK 10 N TYR 30 E TPL 20 WNW AUS 30 NW SAT 25
WNW HDO.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 S
6R6 25 E 6R6 55 NE 6R6 55 WNW MWL 35 W ADM 40 NNW MLC 40 ENE BVO 55
S OJC 30 SSW CDJ IRK 25 SW BRL 35 W PIA 30 NNE BMI 35 NNW LAF FWA 35
NE DAY 40 WNW HTS 35 SE LOZ 50 SSE TYS 30 ESE RMG 10 SE BHM 50 W MEI
40 NNE IER 45 W IER 45 ESE AUS 30 WNW NIR 35 E LRD 70 W MFE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W BUF 10 WNW JHW
25 SW LBE 15 ESE PSK 45 S CLT 30 WSW OGB 40 NE VDI 25 NW VDI 40 E
TOI PIB 45 SSE LFK 50 S CLL 15 NNE NIR 50 SSW ALI 45 S MFE
...CONT... 55 SSW 6R6 15 SW 6R6 40 NNE 6R6 35 W ABI 20 SW SPS 20 E
OKC 35 S PNC 30 N PNC 25 NNE ICT 35 SSW MHK 40 NE MHK 30 NNW LWD 20
NE MSN 30 SW MBL 90 ENE OSC.



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