Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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245
FXUS63 KICT 211800
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
100 PM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Periodic rain/rain showers and isolated thunderstorms will affect
most areas from the Flint Hills westward across central Kansas
early this morning where the better lift will reside just ahead
of the upper low moving across the central/southern high Plains.
The higher precip chances will gradually shift east with the
upper low into southeast Kansas tonight, though scattered areas of
light rain will linger across central Kansas. Little diurnal
recovery is expected under the clouds with rain today with highs
close to the going forecast. The upper low is still progged to
drift southeast across the Ozarks during Sunday with some light
rain or rain showers lingering across the Flint Hills and
southeast Kansas. While clouds look to linger on Monday, dry
weather is expected across the area between the departing low and
the next upper shortwave approaching from the northern Rockies.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

The aforementioned upper trof is progged to drop southeast across
the northern Plains and Midwest Tuesday through Wednesday. This
will push a modest cold front south across the region. Rain
chances also look rather modest with limited moisture. Another
trof will follow in its wake for the latter half of the week which
may carve out a deeper longwave across the eastern CONUS. This
could also provide a limited chance for precip with the passage
of another cold front.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1246 PM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Main Aviation Hazard: IFR stratus

The most widespread rain is expected to persist across eastern
Kansas this afternoon/evening, then southeast Kansas late tonight
into Sunday morning, as the upper low over the Southern High
Plains migrates slowly east-southeastward.

IFR stratus presently across western/central Kansas is expected to
develop southeastward across south-central and southeast Kansas
through tonight into Sunday morning, as high boundary layer
moisture concentrates within an inverted low-level surface trough
axis. Forecast confidence is high in this regard.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 251 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Widespread wetting rains are expected today and tonight, before
gradually ending from west to east across the area on Sunday. This
in combination with higher daytime humidity levels the next few
days will keep the fire danger at low or moderate levels.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    50  44  61  46 / 100  60  20  10
Hutchinson      48  42  61  43 /  90  50  10  10
Newton          48  43  60  44 / 100  60  20  10
ElDorado        50  45  60  46 / 100  60  30  10
Winfield-KWLD   51  45  61  46 / 100  60  20  10
Russell         46  39  61  41 /  80  40   0   0
Great Bend      46  39  60  41 /  80  40  10   0
Salina          49  42  61  43 /  90  50  10  10
McPherson       48  42  60  43 /  90  50  20  10
Coffeyville     56  48  60  48 / 100  80  40  20
Chanute         56  47  59  47 /  80  70  40  20
Iola            58  46  59  47 /  80  70  50  20
Parsons-KPPF    56  48  60  48 /  90  80  40  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...JMC
FIRE WEATHER...KED



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