Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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285
FXUS63 KICT 221756
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1256 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 259 AM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

Areas of light rain will continue to spiral around the mid and
upper level low as it moves from southeast Kansas and northeast
Oklahoma into Arkansas later today. This will impact locations
mainly east of the turnpike after this morning, before ending
early tonight. The clouds are expected to be slower to clear the
rest of the area as moisture wraps around the back side of the
departing low today and tonight. The clouds look to decrease
from west to east on Monday with dry weather and the return of
seasonably mild temperatures as Kansas will be between the
departing low and the next upper trof approaching from the
northern Rockies. This trof will move southeast across the
northern Plains and Midwest during Tuesday with the associated
cold front dropping southeast across Kansas. Despite rather
limited moisture we will continue to carry modest chance PoPs.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 259 AM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

Another potentially more vigorous upper trof is expected to drop
south across the Midwest and Great Lakes later in the week with
another cold frontal passage and slight/modest chances for rain.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

A compact sfc low that at 17Z was centered over the AR, LA & MS
borders was teaming with a weak inverted sfc ridge that curved
from Nebraska, thru Wrn KS, to the TX Panhandle to produce wrap-
around -RA & MVFR cigs that in a few instances were IFR. (Such as
at KCNU). Vsbys in parts of SE KS have suddenly been lower than
anticipated as KCNU, which had been VFR almost all morning,
suddenly dropped to 1 1/2SM just as the 18Z TAF was issued. Per
this reason, have applied a "TEMPO 2218/2222" group to the KCNU
for the remainder of the afternoon. Cigs & vsbys across SE KS
should slowly improve ~23/00Z as the afore-mentioned sfc low
drifts E into Wrn TN & "allows" the inverted ridge to increase
influence.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 259 AM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

The latest rainfall and relatively high daytime humidity levels
will keep the fire danger low today. Even as we dry out on Monday
winds will be light with fire danger remaining low. The recent
rainfall should also promote further green-up across the area
this week.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    58  45  70  46 /  50  10   0   0
Hutchinson      59  43  71  44 /  20   0   0  10
Newton          57  44  70  45 /  60  10   0   0
ElDorado        56  45  70  46 /  60  10   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   58  45  71  46 /  60  10   0   0
Russell         61  41  71  43 /  10   0   0  20
Great Bend      61  41  71  44 /  10   0   0  20
Salina          60  43  71  44 /  20   0   0  10
McPherson       59  43  70  44 /  20   0   0   0
Coffeyville     56  48  70  46 /  80  30  10   0
Chanute         57  47  69  46 /  90  30  10   0
Iola            57  46  69  46 /  90  30  10   0
Parsons-KPPF    56  48  70  47 /  80  30  10   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...EPS
FIRE WEATHER...KED



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