Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
182
FNUS52 KILM 071907
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
.DISCUSSION...
The area will remain between an inland trough and Atlantic high
pressure into Thursday with unseasonably warm and humid
conditions expected. Mostly limited showers and storms expected
through Wednesday until a cold front approaches Thursday and moves
through Friday bringing a better chance of rain and even some
stronger storms. High pressure will then slowly return into early
next week bringing drier and cooler conditions.
Fog potential for tonight is Very Low.
NCZ105>110-081115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30 40
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 68 94 69 91
Max/Min RH (%) 95 45 93 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 7 SW 7 G19 SW 8 G20
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G17 SW 10 G20 SW 5 SW 13 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.04
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/0900 1900 74/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 5400
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 SW 30
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 126000 162000
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 70 Good 48 Gen Good 94 Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 104 Very Good9 Poor 113 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B D C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 41 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-081115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 69 92 70 91
Max/Min RH (%) 95 45 94 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 7 S 5 SW 8 G20
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 9 G17 SW 4 SW 13 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.03
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 W 32
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 120000 169600
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 67 Good 61 Good 96 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 116 Very Good10 Poor 122 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 80 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-081115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 69 92 71 91
Max/Min RH (%) 91 45 92 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 8 SW 7 SW 10 G22
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 SW 11 G19 SW 6 SW 16 G27
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.04
Precip Duration 1 2 4
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 5000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 33
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 126000 165000
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 87 Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 91 Good 14 Gen Poor 118 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-081115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 30
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 2 3
Min/Max Temp 69 93 71 90
Max/Min RH (%) 95 43 92 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G17 SW 6 SW 7 G19 SW 8 G20
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 10 G20 SW 5 SW 12 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 74/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 5900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 W 31
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 128000 182900
ADI Early 33 Fair 64 Good 54 Gen Good 98 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 110 Very Good9 Poor 128 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 80 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 36 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-081115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 40
Precip Type None None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 3
Min/Max Temp 68 92 70 90
Max/Min RH (%) 93 43 92 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 7 SW 5 SW 9 G21
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 9 G17 SW 5 SW 13 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 74/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 33
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 128100 171600
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 62 Good 100 Good 96 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 111 Very Good11 Poor 134 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 78 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 35 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-081115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
307 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 69 93 70 90
Max/Min RH (%) 94 45 94 55
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 7 SW 6 SW 10 G21
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 10 G18 SW 5 SW 14 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.03
Precip Duration 1 2 4
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 73/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 33
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 134400 168300
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 78 Good 92 Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 93 Good 12 Poor 121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 79 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Bright