Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
314
FNUS54 KMAF 040806
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
306 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Critically dry fuels are present west and southwest of the Pecos
River, with ERCs near or above the 90th percentile over
westernmost portions of the area. Min critical RH exists west of
dryline each afternoon this weekend, with near critical fire
weather possible today and Sunday over westernmost portions of the
area, and lightning and gusty, erratic winds in any storms posing
risk for fire starts. Dryline moves east of entire area Monday
with decreasing dewpoints and min RH at or below critical 15%
through Thursday. This along with above average temperatures and
gusty westerly winds each afternoon Monday through Thursday
produces critical fire weather conditions, but eastward extent of
risk depends on westward extent and amount of rain this weekend.
Behind a cold front at the end of this week, better overnight
recovery, increased min RH, cooler temperatures, and increased
clouds limit fire weather concerns.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-042115-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
206 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 10 30 0
Temp (24h trend) 75 (-8) 49 (-2) 82
RH % (24h trend) 19 (+14) 93 (+53) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 9 E 11 S 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 13 SE 7 S 15
LAL 1 3 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 7 25 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6700 9400
Transport Wnd (kts) NE 18 S 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 120600 225600
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 0 0 3
RFTI Category Nil Nil Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 15 to 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-042115-
Chaves Plains-
206 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 0
Temp (24h trend) 77 (-13) 53 (0) 85
RH % (24h trend) 33 (+27) 99 (+17) 16
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 11 E 14 SE 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 15 SE 8 S 15
LAL 3 3 1
Haines Index 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 17 18 22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4480 7600
Transport Wnd (kts) NE 18 S 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 80640 182400
Vent Category Good Excellent
RFTI 0 0 2
RFTI Category Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
$$
NMZ118-042115-
Eddy Plains-
206 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 0
Temp (24h trend) 83 (-7) 56 (0) 84
RH % (24h trend) 29 (+23) 94 (+15) 17
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 8 E 14 SE 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NE 12 E 8 SE 12
LAL 3 3 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 14 19 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 6980 7600
Transport Wnd (kts) E 17 SE 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 118660 159600
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows around 60. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
$$
NMZ119-042115-
Lea-
206 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 0
Temp (24h trend) 81 (-8) 54 (-1) 79
RH % (24h trend) 39 (+32) 100 (0) 34
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 11 E 15 E 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 14 E 10 SE 10
LAL 3 3 1
Haines Index 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 18 17 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4660 4640
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 21 SE 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 97860 78880
Vent Category Good Good
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-042115-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
306 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024 /206 AM MDT Sat May 4 2024/
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+2) 52 (-4) 81
RH % (24h trend) 12 (+5) 89 (+46) 10
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 5 NE 15 E 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 13 E 11 S 13
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 4 17 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11050 9240
Transport Wnd (kts) S 16 S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 176800 157080
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 2 1
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Windy, clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-042115-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
306 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 10 10 10
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+2) 55 (-3) 89
RH % (24h trend) 6 (-3) 92 (+17) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 7 NE 11 NE 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 10 NE 10 SE 8
LAL 1 3 2
Haines Index 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 15 16 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10880 7980
Transport Wnd (kts) S 17 E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 184960 103740
Vent Category Excellent Very good
RFTI 2 2 0
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-042115-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
306 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 60 30
Temp (24h trend) 89 (-3) 58 (-3) 82
RH % (24h trend) 33 (+11) 100 (+2) 41
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 10 E 13 E 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 12 NE 9 SE 7
LAL 4 5 3
Haines Index 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 21 31 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 5130 4430
Transport Wnd (kts) SE 21 E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 107730 57590
Vent Category Very good Fair
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI Category Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
$$