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000
FXUS64 KMOB 120446
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1146 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1146 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

VFR conditions continue over the area through Friday. Westerly
winds of 5 knots or less overnight become northwesterly around 10
knots on Friday. /29

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 614 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024/

..New AVIATION...

AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 614 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Northwesterly
winds at 10-15 knots diminish to a west to northwest flow around 5
knots or less overnight, then a northwest flow at 10-15 knots
returns on Friday. /29

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 356 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024/

.New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 356 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

The clouds and isolated showers will continue to push east and out
of the area through this evening as the upper low over the Tennessee
Valley continues to move northeast. A cooler and drier airmass will
move into the area tonight as high pressure builds in. This will
also result in the gusty winds decreasing this evening as the
pressure gradient relaxes. Lows tonight will fall into the mid/upper
40s inland to low to mid 50s along the coast. High pressure
continues to build into the area on Friday providing for sunny skies
and seasonably warm temperatures in the lower to middle 70s.

Coastal hazards with high surf and life threatening rip currents
will continue through Friday morning. /13

SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 356 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Upper level ridging builds over the forecast area for the weekend
through the middle of next week as surface high pressure slides east
to a position of the Southeast U.S. coast by the end of the weekend.
A noticeable warm up is expected with a prolonged period of dry
weather. Temperatures rise into the upper 70s to lower 80s on
Saturday, warming into the lower to middle 80s for Sunday through
the middle of next week. Low temperatures will start off cool in the
lower to middle 50s, except upper 50s near the coast, for the
weekend and then rise into the lower to middle 60s for the first
part of next week as southerly low level flow returns and humidity
gradually increases. The next chances for any precipitation should
hold off until at least the end of next week. /JLH

MARINE...
Issued at 356 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

A moderate to strong westerly flow becomes predominately offshore
by late this afternoon into tonight. Winds quickly drop off after
sunset tonight with the Gale Warning expiring at 7pm this evening
and the Small Craft Advisory expiring at 7am Friday for the well
offshore waters. Seas and winds will relax as we head into Friday
and the upcoming weekend as light offshore flow remains over the
area and high pressure moves overhead. A return to light to
moderate onshore flow can be expected by late Sunday into the
beginning of next week. /14

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      50  76  49  79  54  79  58  80 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   54  75  53  77  57  77  61  77 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      57  74  56  76  60  75  63  76 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   47  74  45  81  50  83  52  85 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  46  74  46  81  50  83  54  85 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      47  72  44  79  51  81  52  83 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   48  76  45  81  49  81  53  82 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 AM CDT Friday for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Advisory until 1 AM CDT Friday for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Surf Advisory until 1 AM CDT Friday for FLZ202.

     High Rip Current Risk through Friday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Advisory until 7 AM CDT Friday for FLZ204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Friday for GMZ670-675.

&&

$$

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