994
FNUS74 KMOB 071115
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto 6315 North...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
615 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Mainly dry weather can be expected today over the burn site but
cannot rule out an isolated shower or thunderstorm this afternoon
as a weak upper level disturbance passes by to the north.
Southerly transport winds will persist today and tomorrow along
with mixing heights between 4.5 and 5kft both this afternoon and
again on Wednesday afternoon. Dispersions over the burn area will
be generally good both this afternoon and again Wednesday
afternoon.

Fog potential and other remarks...Locally patchy fog will be
possible early this morning and again late tonight into early
Wednesday morning. Visibilities should remain greater than 4 miles
in any patchy fog.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1128-1463 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 8 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....66.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........68     55     49     52
Weather cov.....              S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      20     20
LAL.............1      1      2      2
Temp............83     86     87     87
RH..............74     65     59     57
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..12     14     14     14
20 FT wind gust.18     22     24     23
Mix hgt (ft)....3700   4600   4800   3700
Mix hgt (m).....1130   1400   1460   1130
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.20     20     18     18
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).9      9      8      8
Dispersion idx..62     70     66     61
LVORI...........3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 12 mph becoming light. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1128 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 12 mph
                    after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....61 decreasing to 9.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........39     32     32     59     75     80
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............84     77     75     73     73     72
RH..............65     82     87     97     100    100
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..13     10     8      6      6      6
20 FT wind gust.20     17     15     12     10     9
Mix hgt (ft)....3700   600    600    600    500    500
Mix hgt (m).....1130   180    180    180    150    150
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.20     15     13     12     12     10
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).9      7      6      5      5      4
Dispersion idx..61     10     9      9      8      7
LVORI...........1      4      5      7      7      7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 14 mph with
                    gusts to around 28 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...183-1372 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 21 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 67.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........78     77     76     56     45     44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............72     76     83     89     91     91
RH..............100    90     77     59     52     52
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..5      6      10     14     16     16
20 FT wind gust.9      13     18     23     26     28
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1800   2700   3800   4500   3900
Mix hgt (m).....180    550    820    1160   1370   1190
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.12     13     17     20     20     21
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).5      6      8      9      9      9
Dispersion idx..7      29     50     64     70     63
LVORI...........7      4      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Jonathan Howell (31)
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412441.8/MOB
.DELDT 05/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov