791
FXUS63 KPAH 101731
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1231 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry with close to normal temperatures through the weekend.

- Shower and thunderstorm chances return next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Updated aviation discussion for 18Z TAFs.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 258 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

A couple weak perturbations will progress into the Ohio Valley
in northwest flow aloft over the next 24-36 hours. That will
result in a few periods of increased cloud cover through
Saturday morning. Otherwise, expect a fair amount of sunshine
through the weekend with dry conditions. Temperatures will be a
little below normal through Saturday, then trend more towards
seasonable levels by Sunday as a warming trend ensues.

Another wet pattern appears on tap next week as an upper low
currently over the southwestern U.S. inches closer by early in
the week. A couple periods of showers and isolated storms appear
possible. The first is slated to arrive on Monday and linger
through Tuesday. The second arrives later in the week with the
approach of an upper level trough within quasi-zonal flow.

At this time, the synoptic setup doesn`t appear particularly
favorable for flooding or severe weather potential. However,
it`s too early to tell for certain given the degree of model
spread this far out.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. Daytime
cumulus has lifted to around 4000 ft and is expected to remain
at VFR heights. Cloud coverage drops off overnight except for in
the vicinity of a fairly dry frontal passage moving through the
Evansville Tri-State. A brief shower cannot be completely ruled
out but is low enough probability to be left out of the TAF for
now. Northerly winds of 8-10 kts gusting to 15-18 kts today
become light out of the southwest tonight before the front moves
through early tomorrow morning resulting in breezy northwesterly
winds during the day tomorrow.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...ATL
DISCUSSION...RJP
AVIATION...ATL