Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 170918
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
418 AM CDT Wed Jul 17 2019

.SHORT TERM (Today through Thursday)...

An upper level high pressure system is expected to persist over
the SRN 1/2 of the CONUS during the period, per deterministic
output. The GFS/ECMWF/NAM predict PWAT values to remain
near/below normal during the period. Anticipate no significant
precipitation during the period owing to the upper ridge and
insufficient moisture. Maximum Heat Index values 105-109F expected
today over the CWA, with values around 110 briefy, mainly over
portions of the Southern Plains (and thus issued an SPS.)

&&

LONG TERM (Thursday night through Tuesday)...

Mid to upper level ridging will remain in place over the region
through the weekend. Above normal temperatures and generally rain-
free conditions are expected through the first half of the weekend
as limited moisture and subsidence continues. However, can not rule
out an isolated shower or thunderstorm with the sea breeze each
afternoon. Warm temperatures with heat indices of 105 to 109 degrees
are expected Friday and Saturday afternoon. Breezy conditions will
be possible each afternoon through the weekend as broad high
pressure across the Gulf and lower pressure upstream persist. The
500mb sub-tropical ridge will start to break down a bit early next
week as an upper level trough moves around the ridge. A mid to upper
level weakness develops early next week and should lead to an uptick
in rain chances Monday and Tuesday.

.MARINE...

WaveWatch sea state, onshore flow, and full moon suggest a
moderate risk of rip currents today and Thursday. Small Craft
Exercise Caution conditions will be possible through the weekend
as moderate onshore flow prevails. Wave heights are expected to
remain between 3 to 4 feet. Isolated showers and thunderstorms can
be expected on Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    94  79  95  79  94  /  10  10  10   0  10
Victoria          93  77  94  76  94  /  10  10  10   0  10
Laredo           104  79 105  78 104  /   0   0  10   0   0
Alice             98  77  99  77  99  /   0  10  10   0   0
Rockport          90  82  90  81  90  /  10  10  10  10  10
Cotulla          103  77 103  77 103  /  10   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        96  78  97  77  97  /   0  10   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       91  82  90  82  90  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

WC/87...SHORT TERM
KC/99...LONG TERM


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