Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 202312
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
612 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019

.DISCUSSION...
00Z TAF discussion.

&&

.AVIATION...
Winds will remain breezy overnight with development of LLWS after
04Z as LLJ of 45kts to 50kts develops. Surface winds will increase
after 14Z Sunday with gusts of 25-35kts. There will be an increase
in mid clouds overnight with some cumulus development during the
day Sunday, but VFR conditions expected throughout forecast
period.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 303 PM CDT Sat Apr 20 2019/

DISCUSSION...
Overall, not a lot of changes were made to the previous forecast.
For tonight into Sunday, mid to high clouds will increase as a
shortwave trough moves across the central Plains. A breezy south
wind can be expected on Sunday with some gusts above 35 mph during
the afternoon. A dryline will mix into far western Oklahoma by
late afternoon, but rather warm temperatures near 85h should
inhibit storm development near the boundary.

A cold front will move across parts of western and northern Oklahoma
on Monday and will likely become nearly stationary during the
afternoon. By late afternoon or early evening, scattered to
numerous showers and storms are expected to form mainly along and
north of the surface boundary. Models differ some with the
frontal position and placement higher rainfall amounts.

Higher rain and storm chances will shift to southern Oklahoma and
northern Texas Tuesday into Wednesday, as the front pushes
farther south. By late Wednesday into early Thursday, rain chances
will gradually end, as a trough finally moves east of the
southern Plains.

Dry and warm weather is expected Friday and Saturday of next
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  59  80  61  78 /  10   0   0  10
Hobart OK         59  84  58  78 /   0   0   0  20
Wichita Falls TX  59  85  62  82 /   0   0   0  10
Gage OK           58  88  53  76 /   0  10   0  10
Ponca City OK     59  82  61  78 /   0   0   0  10
Durant OK         56  79  60  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

03/30/30


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