Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS21 KWNS 241509

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1008 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018

Valid 241700Z - 251200Z


Locally elevated conditions (hot, dry, unstable, and breezy) are
likely to develop across most of Arizona and western New Mexico this
afternoon including in the vicinity of the Buzzard fire. Forecast
still looks on track and no changes are necessary. Please see
discussion below for more details.

..Nauslar.. 05/24/2018

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Thu May 24 2018/

Dry areas of the Southwest and southern Rockies will reside in
between two systems - one mid-level shortwave trough lifting
northeastward toward the northern Rockies and another closed low
just west of California.  As a result, ridging will persist today
and result in a relative minimum of mid-level flow across much of
the western third of the CONUS.  At the surface, a relatively weak
gradient will exist across the Southwest resulting from a weak
trough from Nevada southward through the Lower Colorado River
Valley.  Areas of breezy (10-15 mph) southerly flow will exist from
southern Arizona into the Four Corners during peak heating today
amidst dry low-level conditions (critically low RH and dry
fuels/drought).  Although locally elevated fire weather conditions
will exist across portions of the region, overall wind fields remain
a bit too weak to highlight any areas in the Southwest.  Elsewhere,
moist fuels and relatively high RH will result in quiescent fire
weather conditions across the remainder of the CONUS.

...Please see for graphic product...

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