Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 272002
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
402 PM EDT Sun May 27 2018

...Warm and dry, especially Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will once again build into the region
Monday, with temperatures continuing to run well above normal. A
weak cold front passage late Monday will bring slightly cooler,
but still well above normal, temperatures Tuesday. Winds will also
pick up some with the frontal passage, and Tuesday will see RH
and winds getting very close to critical thresholds along with
the temperatures.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-280900-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
402 PM EDT Sun May 27 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 60-65 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (130).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the east around
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....82-87...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent...except 42-47 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (520).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-280900-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
402 PM EDT Sun May 27 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (200).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 3 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (240).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-280900-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
402 PM EDT Sun May 27 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....87-92...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (150).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the east around
                    9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 6 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier...except 15 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (600).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-280900-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
402 PM EDT Sun May 27 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the east
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....89-94...except around 80 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (380).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the west around
                    9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast after midnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east around
                    9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....88-93...except 80-85 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 43-48 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (620).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-280900-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
402 PM EDT Sun May 27 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....88-93.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (550).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the west around
                    9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast after midnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....82-87.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (380).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AM



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