Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 210807
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
407 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

...Rain developing by afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure moving northeast from Missouri will bring widespread
rain and cool temperatures this afternoon and tonight. Clouds will
linger in the wake of this system on Tuesday then sunny and warm
weather is expected Wednesday and Thursday. Memorial Day Weekend
looks to start out warm and humid with scattered showers and
thunderstorms, then ends up dry for the holiday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-212015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
407 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    after 1000 until 1400, then rain likely. Patchy
                    fog after 1600.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2000-2500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.33 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Patchy fog until 0500.
                    Rain likely until 2400. chance of rain after
                    2400.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.28 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2100-2600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-212015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
407 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) until 1400, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog until 0900.
                    patchy fog after 1900. Chance of rain after
                    1300 until 1700, then rain likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.15 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Patchy fog until 2200.
                    patchy fog after 0200 until 0500. Rain likely
                    until 0200. chance of rain after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.15-0.31 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-212015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
407 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain until
                    1000, then rain. slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1100. Patchy fog after 1200.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.26-0.66 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog until 0600.
                    Rain likely and a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. chance of rain after
                    2300.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.29 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-212015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
407 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900. patchy fog after 1500. Chance of rain
                    after 0900 until 1400, then rain and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.41 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Patchy fog until 0500.
                    Rain until 0100. slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 0200. chance of rain after 0100.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.20-0.37 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-212015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
407 AM EDT Mon May 21 2018

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 1300. slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1100. rain after 1300. Patchy fog after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.56 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog until 0500.
                    Rain likely until 0100. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0200. chance of rain after
                    0100.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.43 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northwest winds 5 to
6 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 6 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around 80.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows around 60.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$



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