Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS73 KDTX 181455
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Argo Cascade...City of Ann Arbor , NAP
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1055 AM EDT Fri May 18 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on May 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Rain and thunderstorm chances will return to SE MI
Saturday afternoon as a weak warm front pushes across the state.
Additional rain and thunder chances are forecasted for Sunday and
Monday as a weak cold front and associated upper-level disturbance
move across the Great Lakes. Prior to the rain moving in, minimum RH
values will sit in the 40s this afternoon and on Friday. Increased
moisture will raise minimum RH values into the 60s to lower 70s on
Saturday and lower 60s on Sunday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......1700-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 22 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)..........67  70  73  77  82
Weather cov......
Weather type.....
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............67  68  69  69  69
RH...............45  44  43  44  45
Eye lvl wnd dir..E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd..12  13  13  13  13
Eye lvl wnd gst..14  15  16  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)....1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8
Transp wind dir..E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd..22  22  22  23  24
Haines index.....4   3   3   3   3
VRate kt-ft/1000.30  30  40  40  40

$$
Forecaster...Gurney
Requested by...Dave Borneman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810279.0/DTX
.DELDT 05/18/18
.EMAIL NAP@a2gov.org



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