Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
546 FNUS73 KMPX 171320 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Gopher Ridge WMA...MN DNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 820 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... For the Gopher Ridge WMA, any stray showers are moving out this morning, allowing skies to mostly clear out. Temperatures will make a run up into the upper 80s depending on how much persistent sunlight we see today. This would allow RH values to drop as low as the upper 20s by this afternoon. Winds will be light this morning, but will pick up in strength this afternoon out of the south, with gusts up to 15-20 mph possible at times. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Temperature.........75 at ignition...Max 87. RH..................49 percent at ignition...Min 26 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 10 mph at ignition...otherwise South winds 10 to 14 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair /26400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /125600 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 18 mph. Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 6. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............75 79 82 84 85 87 87 87 86 82 77 75 RH..............49 43 38 33 30 26 26 28 30 35 43 46 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..10 10 10 12 13 14 13 12 10 12 14 15 20 FT wind gust.16 16 16 18 20 21 20 18 17 18 22 23 Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.7 3.8 5.0 6.3 7.4 7.9 7.5 4.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.SW S S S S SW S S S S S S Transp wind spd.14 13 13 15 16 17 18 20 18 18 18 22 Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Temperature.........Min 65. RH..................Max 65 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (63400 knot-ft) decreasing to fair (16500 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (7600 knot-ft) late in the night early in the evening. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 18 to 24 mph. Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Temperature.........Max 74. RH..................Min 27 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 13 to 15 mph shifting to the west 17 to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (107600 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (105700 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 17 to 20 mph shifting to the west 23 to 30 mph early in the morning. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Dettmann Requested by...Louise Spiczka Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2414505.0/MPX .DELDT 05/17/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL louise.spiczka@state.mn.us