Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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FNUS73 KMPX 220544
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Trenton Bluff State Natural Area...WDNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1244 AM CDT Sun Apr 22 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Good morning Dean,
Main challenge today for the Trenton Bluff State Natural Area
will be the light and variable winds. Should generally see a
southerly direction, but this direction can`t be trusted with
speeds of only 3-5 kts. Otherwise expect dry conditions with
min RH values around 30 percent this afternoon. If you have
any questions give us a call at 952-361-6671.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........45 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................55 percent at ignition...Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 4 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    southeast 5 to 6 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1600 ft AGL increasing to 3500-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing winds........Southeast 5 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /11500 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /34700 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........4 or low at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............45  49  52  55  57  58  59  59  58
RH..............55  48  43  35  32  30  29  31  36
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 3.0 3.7 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   9   10  10  12
Mixing wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Mixing wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   9   10  10  12
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100012  18  22  30  29  32  34  33  35

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Temperature.........Min 34.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1800-3300 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1300 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing winds........Southeast 7 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1500-33000 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............56     49     43     39     36     34
RH..............38     66     76     82     85     89
20 ft wind......SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3
20 ft wind gust.10     5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....3300   2300   1300   300    300    300
Transport wind..S 12   SE 10  SE 8   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7
Mixing wind.....S 12   SE 10  SE 8   SE 7   SE 7   SE 7
Haines index....5      5      4      4      4      5
SDspl kt-ft/100033     21     9      2      2      2

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 64.
RH..................Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300-1600 ft AGL increasing to 4300-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 7 mph.
Mixing winds........South 2 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to or moderate.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............35     45     55     60     63     64
RH..............89     76     57     44     38     38
20 ft wind......SE 3   SE 3   S 3    S 3    S 3    S 3
20 ft wind gust.5      5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1600   2900   4300   4500   4800
Transport wind..SE 7   SE 6   S 3    S 2    S 2    S 2
Mixing wind.....SE 7   SE 6   S 3    S 2    S 2    S 2
Haines index....5      5      4      4      4      3
SDspl kt-ft/10002      8      9      9      9      10

$$
Forecaster...BEITLICH
Requested by...Dean Edlin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807313.0/MPX
.EMAIL dean.edlin@wisconsin.gov



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