Text Products for FWS Issued by MQT

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
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000
FNUS73 KMQT 242120
FWSMQT

Spot Forecast for Rusty Waikiki and Crimson...USFS
National Weather Service Marquette MI
520 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION... High pressure dominates the weather over the next 48
hours with light and variable winds expected overnight. We are
expecting sunny skies tomorrow which will result in afternoon lake
breeze development near the burn site. Even though this might result
in more variable winds, we are expecting light southerly winds to
prevail. An approaching system causes winds to veer southeasterly
Thursday night then increase during the day on Friday. By Friday
night the next precipitation chances arrive and at this time
moderate rainfall amounts are expected by Saturday afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........39 at ignition...Min 26.
RH..................37 percent at ignition...Max 69 percent.
33-foot winds.......Winds southwest at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph
                    shifting to the northeast late in the evening,
                    then shifting to the east around 5 mph
                    overnight shifting to the south 7 to 9 mph
                    after 3 am.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast late in the evening, then shifting to
                    the east around 4 mph overnight shifting to the
                    south 6 to 7 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1500-2800
                    ft AGL decreasing to 100-500 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Ventilation index...Poor (55) at ignition. Min...poor (1.0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   4   3   3   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............39  38  38  35  33  30  29  28  28  27  29  29
RH..............37  38  40  45  49  54  58  61  62  65  63  64
33 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   S   S   S
33 ft wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   9   9   9
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   S   S   S
20 ft wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   7   7   7
Wind gust.......6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
VIndx kt-ft/100.6   3   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   1

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 48.
RH..................Min 37 percent.
33-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......100-2000 ft AGL increasing to 2500-3000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (4.0-130.0).

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............30  31  32  34  37  40  42  43  45  45  46  46
RH..............65  64  69  62  55  50  45  41  38  37  37  37
33 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
33 ft wind spd..10  10  10  9   9   9   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
Wind gust.......            8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.6
VIndx kt-ft/100.1   0   1   2   3   4   5   8   9   12  12  13

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 34.
RH..................Max 77 percent.
33-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......200-2100 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (14.0).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........3      6      8      9      8      5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............45     43     39     37     36     36
RH..............39     47     62     72     73     75
33 ft wind......SE 7   SE 7   E 8    E 8    E 8    SE 8
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 6   E 6    E 6    E 6    SE 6
Wind gust.......7      7      8      10     10     8
Mix hgt (ft)....2100   1000   400    200    300    300
VIndx kt-ft/100.11     5      2      1      2      3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 53.
RH..................Min 46 percent.
33-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 17 mph.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......100-1500 ft AGL increasing to 1100-2300 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (14.0-390.0).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      11     26     36     39     58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............35     39     45     49     51     51
RH..............77     68     60     54     49     46
33 ft wind......SE 8   SE 8   SE 10  SE 15  SE 15  E 17
20 ft wind......SE 6   SE 6   SE 8   SE 12  SE 12  E 14
Wind gust.......10     10     13     18     18     20
Mix hgt (ft)....100    300    1500   2300   2200   1400
VIndx kt-ft/100.2      4      23     38     39     32

$$
Forecaster...BW
Requested by...Brian Wolvert
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412348.0/MQT
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Brian.Wolvert@usda.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
