Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FNUS73 KOAX 251349
FWSOAX

Spot Forecast for Cutler Turin WMA...Iowa DNR
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
849 AM CDT Fri May 25 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Fire Danger will remain low today. Temperatures will climb into
the lower 90s, with a few isolated showers and thunderstorms
possible this afternoon. Winds will be light out of the southwest,
before veering to the northwest in northeast Nebraska as a weak
cold front moves into the region this late this afternoon and
evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). A slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late.
Temperature.........73 at ignition...Max 91.
RH..................77 percent at ignition...Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph late in the morning,
                    becoming light and variable, then becoming west
                    around 5 mph early in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1000-2700
                    ft AGL, increasing to 5200-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /9700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /54400 knot-ft/.
GFDI................MISSING.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 6.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........28     16     11     20     27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............73     80     86     89     91
RH..............77     65     53     45     38
20 ft wind......S 6    SW 5   SW 4   SW 5   W 5
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   2000   3500   6600   5200
Transport wind..SW 10  SW 9   SW 7   W 8    W 10
GFDI............M      M      M      M      M
Haines index....5      5      6      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/100010     15     21     49     41

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Temperature.........Min 64.
RH..................Max 90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening,
                    becoming light and variable.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL, decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 12 mph, becoming east 6 to 7 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (0-20300 knot-ft).
GFDI................MISSING.
Haines Index........5 to 6 OR or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........23     21     8      8      7      6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............91     85     76     71     69     66
RH..............37     50     62     71     76     81
20 ft wind......W 5    W 4    SW 3   SE 4   SE 3   E 3
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....2500   BLW100 300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 12   W 10   SW 7   SE 7   SE 7   E 7
GFDI............M      M      M      M      M      M
Haines index....5      5      6      6      6      6
SDspl kt-ft/100020     0      2      1      2      2

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Max 94.
RH..................Min 27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds, becoming northwest
                    around 5 mph in the afternoon, then becoming
                    light and variable late.
Mixing height.......200-2000 ft AGL, increasing to 3600-5200 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon, then increasing to
                    7200-9000 ft AGL early in the afternoon,
                    decreasing to 6600 ft AGL late.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-36800 knot-ft).
GFDI................MISSING.
Haines Index........5 to 6 OR or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........7      7      4      2      2      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............64     70     81     88     92     94
RH..............90     76     56     40     31     27
20 ft wind......S 2    W 2    W 3    NW 4   NW 5   NW 5
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....200    200    700    3600   7200   9000
Transport wind..S 6    SW 3   W 3    W 5    W 6    W 5
GFDI............M      M      M      M      M      M
Haines index....6      6      6      5      5      6
SDspl kt-ft/10001      0      2      18     33     36

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s. Southeast winds around
7 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds around 8 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Eastlack
Requested by...Nathan Jones
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810651.0/OAX
.DELDT 05/25/18



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