Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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051
FNUS73 KTOP 241714
FWSTOP

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAGLE CREEK NORTH...US FISH/WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1214 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

Skies will become mostly cloudy this afternoon and a cold front
moving eastward will pass through the fire area around 3-6 pm.
The winds shift to the northwest at around 10 kt with gusts up
to 15 kt. Isolated to scattered showers are possible mainly
after 7 pm. The highest chances for rain will be overnight
between 12 am and noon Wednesday. Rainfall amounts should range
from 0.25-0.60 inches.

.REST OF TODAY...

TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................30 percent AT IGNITION...MIN 26.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 ft agl at IGNITION...otherwise 5000 ft agl
                    increasing to 7000-7400 ft agl early in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 4800 ft agl
                    toward evening decreasing to 2500 ft agl toward
                    evening.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS north AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    Light winds becoming north 5 to 9 mph in the
                    afternoon.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR low AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 percent.

Time (CDT)      Noon   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM
Sky (%).........18     39     73     73     81     80
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............69     73     73     70     65     59
RH..............33     27     26     31     43     64
20 ft wind......N 3    N 7    N 8    N 8    N 9    NW 8
20 ft wind gust.5      10     15     15     15     10
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     60
Haines Index....5      4      4      4      5      5

.TONIGHT...

TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 83 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain late in the
                    evening. Rain likely late in the evening, then
                    rain after midnight. Chance of rain 90 percent.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 ft agl.
WIND (20 FT)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.
RH..................MIN 69 percent.
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain early in the morning, then rain
                    likely late in the morning. Rain showers likely
                    in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 90
                    percent.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 ft agl increasing to 2400-3200 ft agl
                    in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    north 5 to 9 mph late in the afternoon.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 percent.

$$
Forecaster...SANDERS
Requested by...JONATHAN DUNBAR
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807656.0/TOP



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