Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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Hydrometeorological Forecast Discussion
NWS North Central River Forecast Center Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1125 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2019

Significant flooding continues for the Red River of the North and the
Mississippi River.  A couple rounds of rains recently in the northern
half of the NCRFC region have pushed area tributaries into the
moderate to major flood categories, with slower responding reaches of
some rivers still lingering above moderate flood levels.  These
include the Minnesota and Wisconsin Rivers.

The Mississippi River through Minnesota, Wisconsin and into Iowa is
still vulnerable to any additional rainfall. It will take several
weeks for mainstem river levels to recede below historically very
high levels - possibly much longer as rain continues to accumulate.

Rainfall expected this weekend and early next week will come just as
the Mississippi is cresting from routed flows through the Iowa and
Illinois border region.  Area tributaries will see action to flood
stage rises, while the mainstem Mississippi will return to near, or
possibly above its previous crest in early April.

River forecasts routinely incorporate 24 hours of QPF from
April 1 to September 30 and 48 hours from October 1 to March 31.
See http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc/LMI_QPF_NcrfcCurrentQpf

...Forecast Activity...
RVF forecasts issued today.  Issue times are in UTC.
Subtract 6 hrs for CST, 5 hrs for CDT/EST, 4 hrs for EDT.

RVF  Forecast Group description             Issue Time
CHP Chippewa R Basin                   2019-04-25 13:21 UTC
CIW Cedar/Iowa R Basin                 2019-04-25 14:12 UTC
DES Des Moines R Basin                 2019-04-25 13:38 UTC
EWS Ern Wisconsin Basins to Lk MI      2019-04-25 15:01 UTC
GND Grand, Muskegon/White Basins, MI   2019-04-25 13:49 UTC
ILO Mainstem Illinois R                2019-04-25 14:25 UTC
KBM Kaskaskia and Big Muddy R Basin    2019-04-25 16:05 UTC
KSJ Kalamazoo/St Joseph Bsns-MI & IN   2019-04-25 13:30 UTC
M10 Miss. R - Lake City, MN-L&D 10     2019-04-25 14:47 UTC
MEC Meramec R Basin                    2019-04-25 14:17 UTC
MEN Menominee R - NE WI & U.P. of MI   2019-04-25 13:26 UTC
MIN Minnesota R abv Shakopee, MN       2019-04-25 15:08 UTC
MIS Miss. R - L&D 20 to Chester, IL    2019-04-25 16:03 UTC
NLM Northern Lower Michigan rivers     2019-04-25 14:14 UTC
RCK Rock R Basin                       2019-04-25 13:32 UTC
RDW Mississippi R abv Red Wing, MN     2019-04-25 13:57 UTC
RED Red R of the North mainstem        2019-04-25 14:21 UTC
TIA Misc Iowa Tribs to Miss. R         2019-04-25 13:32 UTC
TMN Red R tribs in Minnesota           2019-04-25 14:12 UTC
TMO NE Missouri Tribs to Miss. R       2019-04-25 15:53 UTC
TND Red R tribs in North Dakota        2019-04-25 14:14 UTC
UPM Upper Michigan Peninsula rivers    2019-04-25 13:04 UTC
WIS Wisconsin R Basin                  2019-04-25 15:48 UTC

=====================================================================

Sites with forecasts above major flood level (FS=Flood Stage):
                                                                 MAX
RVF NWSLI    Station name/river                             FS   FCST
M10 MCGI4 McGregor - No. 2 - Mississippi R                16.0   22.0
MIN MVOM5 Montevideo - Minnesota R                        14.0   18.2
MIN MTNM5 Morton - 1SW - Minnesota R                      21.0   26.2
RDW STPM5 St Paul - Smith Ave Br - Mississippi R          14.0   17.4
RED OSLM5 Oslo - Red R                                    26.0   36.7
RED DRTN8 Drayton - 2NE - Red R @ Hwy 66 Bridge           32.0   42.1
RED PBNN8 Pembina - Red R                                 39.0   49.3

Sites with forecasts above moderate flood level (FS=Flood Stage):
                                                                 MAX
RVF NWSLI    Station name/river                             FS   FCST
ILO BEAI2 Beardstown - Illinois R                         14.0   18.4
M10 WABM5 Wabasha - (Pool 4 CP) Mississippi R             12.0   14.7
M10 WNAM5 Winona - Mississippi R                          13.0   16.4
M10 TREW3 Trempealeau - L&D 6 - Mississippi R            647.0  649.3
M10 LACW3 La Crosse - (Pool 8 CP) Mississippi R           12.0   14.1
M10 LYNW3 Lynxville - L&D 9 - Mississippi R              625.0  628.8
M10 GTTI4 Guttenberg - L&D 10 - Mississippi R             15.0   19.7
MEN WLKM4 Witch Lake - 2S Blo Witch Lk-Michigamme R        9.0   10.8
MIN NULM5 New Ulm - 2S - Minnesota R                     800.0  804.8
MIN JDNM5 Jordan - Minnesota R                            25.0   28.3
MIS UINI2 Quincy - Memorial Br. - Mississippi R           17.0   22.5
MIS QLDI2 Quincy  - 3SSW-L&D 21 - Mississippi R           17.0   21.4
MIS HNNM7 Hannibal - WTP - Mississippi R                  16.0   22.1
MIS SVRM7 Saverton - L&D 22 - Mississippi R               16.0   21.5
MIS LUSM7 Louisiana - WTP-(Pool 24 CP)-Mississippi R      15.0   21.0
MIS CLKM7 Clarksville - L&D 24 - Mississippi R            25.0   31.3
MIS CAGM7 Cap Au Gris - L&D 25 - Mississippi R            26.0   31.8
MIS GRFI2 Grafton - (Pool 26 CP) Mississippi R            18.0   24.5
RDW HSTM5 Hastings - L&D 2 / Mississippi R                15.0   17.6
RDW RDWM5 Red Wing - L&D 3 - Mississippi R               680.5  681.7
RDW REDM5 Red Wing - Mississippi R                        14.0   15.0
RED ABRN8 Abercrombie - 2WNW - Wild Rice R                10.0   14.4
RED WHNN8 Wahpeton - Red R                                11.0   13.0
RED FGON8 Fargo - WTP - Red R                             18.0   29.7
RED HILN8 Hillsboro - 11ESE (Halstad MN)-Red R            26.0   32.6
RED EGFM5 East Grand Forks - Red R                        28.0   41.4
TND HWDN8 Harwood - Sheyenne R                            84.0   88.0

Sites with forecasts above flood stage (FS):
                                                                 MAX
RVF NWSLI    Station name/river                             FS   FCST
DES ESVI4 Estherville - Des Moines R                       8.0   11.3
DES HBTI4 Humboldt - WTP - Des Moines R                   10.0   10.2
EWS SHIW3 Shiocton - Wolf R                               11.0   13.2
EWS NEWW3 New London - 2SE - Wolf R                        9.0   10.0
EWS BERW3 Berlin - Fox R                                  13.0   13.2
ILO HAVI2 Havana - Illinois R                             14.0   16.9
ILO NLGI2 La Grange - L&D 8 - Illinois R                  23.0   23.4
ILO MROI2 Meredosia - Pwr Plant - Illinois R              17.0   17.7
ILO VALI2 Valley City - Illinois R                        14.0   16.3
ILO HARI2 Hardin - Illinois R                             25.0   30.1
KBM CRLI2 Carlyle - Carlyle Lk (TW)-Kaskaskia R          423.5  425.3
KBM MURI2 Murphysboro - 2SW-WWTP/Rte 127-Big Muddy R      22.0   25.5
M10 LKCM5 Lake City - Mississippi R                       16.0   16.8
M10 MSCM5 Minnesota City - 6NW-L&D 5/Mississippi R       660.0  661.7
M10 WIDM5 Winona - 3NW-L&D 5A/Mississippi R              655.0  658.0
M10 LCRM5 La Crescent - L&D 7 - Mississippi R            641.0  642.7
M10 GENW3 Genoa - L&D 8 - Mississippi R                  631.0  633.6
M10 LNSI4 Lansing - (Pool 9 CP) Mississippi R             17.0   17.9
MEC ARNM7 Arnold - 1N - Meramec R                         24.0   28.6
MEN FLOW3 Florence - 4NE - Menominee R                     9.0   10.4
MEN NIAW3 Niagara - Menominee R                           13.0   14.4
MEN VLCM4 Vulcan - 3S - Menominee R                       15.0   15.7
MEN MCAW3 Wausaukee - 15E - Menominee R                   15.0   17.4
MIN GTEM5 Granite Falls - Minnesota R                    888.5  889.8
MIN RWDM5 Redwood Falls - 3SW - Redwood R                  6.0    6.7
MIN HENM5 Henderson - Minnesota R                        732.0  733.8
MIS CANM7 Canton - L&D 20 - Mississippi R                 14.0   19.4
MIS LGRM7 La Grange - Mississippi R                       18.0   20.0
MIS ALNI2 Alton - 2SE- Melvin Price L&D/Miss. R           21.0   25.2
MIS EADM7 St Louis - Eads Bridge - Mississippi R          30.0   31.7
MIS CHSI2 Chester - Mississippi R                         27.0   34.5
RDW ATKM5 Aitkin - 1N - Mississippi R                     13.0   14.0
RDW FTRM5 Fort Ripley - 1N - Mississippi R                10.0   10.4
RDW MAYM5 Mayer - So Fk Crow R                            11.0   11.3
RDW RKFM5 Rockford - Crow R                               10.0   11.3
RDW SAVM5 Savage - Minnesota R                           702.0  709.2
RDW STLM5 Stillwater - St Croix R                         87.0   87.3
TMN HNDM5 Hendrum - Wild Rice R                           20.0   26.1
TMO OMNM7 Old Monroe - Cuivre R                           24.0   26.6
TND WFON8 West Fargo - Sheyenne R Diversion               18.0   19.2
UPM ALSM4 Alston - 5SE - Sturgeon R                        8.0    8.9
WIS PORW3 Portage - 1SE - WWTP / Wisconsin R              17.0   17.8

Sites with forecasts below flood stage but above a
user-defined threshold (FS=Flood Stage):
                                                                 MAX
RVF NWSLI    Station name/river                             FS   FCST
CHP ECLW3 Eau Claire - Chippewa R                        773.0  768.3
CHP DURW3 Durand - Chippewa R                             13.0   12.4
DES AGNI4 Algona - 1NNW - E Fk Des Moines R               17.0   13.0
DES JCKM5 Jackson - Des Moines R                          12.0   11.6
DES EMTI4 Emmetsburg - 2NW - Des Moines R                 11.0   10.8
DES DMOI4 Des Moines - 2ND Ave - Des Moines R             23.0   20.0
DES DESI4 Des Moines - SE 6TH St - Des Moines R           24.0   20.7
DES EDYI4 Eddyville - No. 2-Des Moines R                  63.0   60.9
DES OTMI4 Ottumwa - Des Moines R                          11.5   11.3
DES SFLM7 St Francisville - 1N - Des Moines R             18.0   17.3
EWS OCTW3 Oconto - 5SW - Oconto R                          9.0    8.2
EWS LGLW3 Langlade - Wolf R                               11.5   10.0
EWS PCNW3 Princeton - Fox R                                9.5    9.0
EWS APLW3 Appleton - Fox R                                 8.4    7.0
GND MRPM4 Maple Rapids - Maple R                           9.0    7.1
ILO PRAI2 Peoria - L&D 7 - Illinois R                    447.0  444.0
KBM PLMI2 Plumfield - Big Muddy R                         20.0   19.0
KSJ CPEI3 Cosperville - N Br Elkhart R                     6.0    5.2
KSJ NILM4 Niles - WWTP - St Joseph R                      11.0    7.1
M10 ALMW3 Alma - L&D 4 - Mississippi R                    16.0   14.7
MEC VLLM7 Valley Park - Meramec R                         16.0   11.0
MEN CRYM4 Crystal Falls - 1NW - Paint R                    7.0    6.4
MIN SPFM5 Springfield - 4SW @ Cottonwood R                22.0   21.7
MIN NWUM5 New Ulm - 2S - Cottonwood R                     11.0   10.9
MIN MNKM5 Mankato - Minnesota R                           22.0   21.8
RCK WATW3 Watertown - WWTP - Rock R                        5.5    4.0
RCK AFTW3 Afton - 5SW - WWTP & Rock R                      9.0    8.0
RDW TACM5 Taconite - 5N - Prairie R                       10.0    9.1
RDW STCM5 St Cloud - 3W - Sauk R                           6.0    5.1
RDW SCOM5 St Cloud - Mississippi R                         9.0    8.7
RDW DELM5 Delano - So Fk Crow R                           16.5   16.4
RDW AKAM5 Champlin - Mississippi R                        12.0   10.1
RED HICN8 Hickson - 1SE - Red R                           30.0   28.1
TMN DILM5 Dilworth - 7NE - Buffalo R                      13.0   12.7
TMN CLXM5 Climax - Sand Hill R                            20.0   19.0
TND KNDN8 Kindred - 2SE - Sheyenne R                      16.0   15.9
TND MPLN8 Mapleton - 3SW - Maple R                        18.0   17.6
UPM HUMM4 Humboldt - MI Br Escanaba R                      6.5    5.8
WIS DDGW3 Dodge - Trempealeau R                            9.0    7.3
WIS RRLW3 Merrill - Wisconsin R                           11.0   10.0
WIS ROTW3 Rothschild - Wisconsin R                        25.0   20.7
WIS NCAW3 Necedah - Yellow R                              15.0   12.8
WIS WDEW3 Wisconsin Dells - WWTP & Wisconsin R            16.0   13.0
WIS MUSW3 Muscoda - 1NE - WWTP & Wisconsin R               9.0    8.9

=====================================================================

...Past Precipitation...
Observation times are in UTC.
Subtract 6 hrs for CST, 5 hrs for CDT/EST, 4 hrs for EDT.
=====================================================================

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Iowa:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
ESTI4    DH1200/PPDRZ  0.21 : Estherville 4E                      IA
IAWS07   DH1125/PPDRZ  0.09 : Wellman 4E                          IA
ESVI4    DH1200/PPDRG  0.07 : Estherville                         IA
DNNI4    DH1200/PPDRZ  0.06 : Donnellson                          IA
IAMC11   DH1200/PPDRZ  0.06 : Nichols 3SSW                        IA

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Illinois:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
COWI2    DH1200/PPDRG  2.57 : Crab Orchard (RAWS)                 IL
ILWM12   DH1200/PPDRZ  2.08 : Marion 8SSW                         IL
ILWM04   DH1200/PPDRZ  1.35 : Bush 2ESE                           IL
ILWM13   DH1330/PPDRZ  1.17 : Herrin 1E                           IL
PLMI2    DH1200/PPDRG  1.01 : Plumfield                           IL

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Indiana:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
INEL48   DH1100/PPDRZ  0.05 : Goshen 1SSE                         IN
INPT92   DH1320/PPDRZ  0.04 : Hebron 1NW                          IN
INSJ17   DH1100/PPDRZ  0.03 : Walkerton 6ENE                      IN
INSN12   DH1107/PPDRZ  0.03 : Hudson                              IN
INLP28   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.03 : La Porte 1ENE                       IN

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Michigan:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
OJIM4    DH1200/PPDRG  0.07 : Cooper Harbor 53NW - Ojibway (RAWS) MI
WINM4    DH1200/PPDRG  0.06 : Calumet 55NW - Windigo (RAWS)       MI
IRS      DH1155/PPDRZ  0.04 : Sturgis 2NW - Kirsch Muni Arpt      MI
CHBM4    DH1200/PPDRZ  0.02 : Cheboygan WWTP                      MI
MIBN03   DH1100/PPDRZ  0.02 : Buchanan 1ESE                       MI

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Minnesota:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
MNJC04   DH1200/PPDRZ  0.68 : Lakefield 8N                        MN
LKFM5    DH1200/PPDRZ  0.61 : Lakefield 2NE                       MN
MNMT09   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.59 : Odin 2S                             MN
WDOM5    DH1300/PPDRZ  0.58 : Windom                              MN
OTG      DH1156/PPDRZ  0.53 : Worthington Muni Arpt               MN

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Missouri:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
MORP06   DH1000/PPDRZ  1.54 : Fairdealing 6W                      MO
BRIM7    DH1200/PPDRG  0.66 : Bloomsdale 5N - Brickeys Landing    MO
MOST04   DH1200/PPDRZ  0.62 : Dexter 1WNW                         MO
PRRM7    DH1200/PPDRZ  0.55 : Perryville WTP                      MO
PTSM7    DH1000/PPDRZ  0.44 : Potosi 4SW                          MO

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from North Dakota:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
NGTN8    DH1200/PPDRG  0.01 : Northgate 5ESE (CRN)                ND

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from South Dakota:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
SIWS2    DH1200/PPDRZ  0.01 : Sisseton 4W                         SD
SDRB01   DH1200/PPDRZ  0.01 : Sisseton 4W                         SD
SDRB04   DH1200/PPDRZ 0.001 : Sisseton 10ENE                      SD

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Wisconsin:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
ETTW3    DH1150/PPDRZ  0.15 : Ettrick 4WNW                        WI
WIJK01   DH1200/PPDRZ  0.06 : Black River Falls 2NNE              WI
SOSW3    DH1200/PPDRP  0.05 : Superior 6S                         WI
ALMW3    DH1100/PPDRZ  0.05 : Alma L&D 4                          WI
ALMW3    DH1300/PPDRZ  0.05 : Alma L&D 4                          WI

=====================================================================

See http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc/LMI_QCPCPN for all reports.


For additional and more in-depth information concerning river
forecasts, precipitation and all hydrometeorological information
in the NCRFC area of responsibility, please refer to the NCRFC
web page at:     http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc


$$





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