Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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Hydrometeorological Forecast Discussion
NWS North Central River Forecast Center Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1059 AM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

We have 27 active forecast points with 2 above moderate, both on
the Illinois River. Relatively cool and quiet weather is on tap for
the NCRFC area for the next several days, while heavy rain is in the
forecast to our south and east. Ice jams continue to be a concern in
Iowa, southern Wisconsin, Illinois, lower Michigan,and along the
Mississippi River roughly from Gregory Landing to Hannibal.
Streamflows are generally much above normal to high.

River forecasts routinely incorporate 24 hours of QPF from
April 1 to September 30 and 48 hours from October 1 to March 31.
See http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc/LMI_QPF_NcrfcCurrentQpf

...Forecast Activity...
RVF forecasts issued today.  Issue times are in UTC.
Subtract 6 hrs for CST, 5 hrs for CDT/EST, 4 hrs for EDT.

RVF  Forecast Group description             Issue Time
EWS Ern Wisconsin Basins to Lk MI      2019-02-17 14:48 UTC
GND Grand, Muskegon/White Basins, MI   2019-02-17 15:13 UTC
ILO Mainstem Illinois R                2019-02-17 16:16 UTC
KBM Kaskaskia and Big Muddy R Basin    2019-02-17 15:57 UTC
KDF Illinois R tribs abv LaSalle, IL   2019-02-17 15:17 UTC
KSJ Kalamazoo/St Joseph Bsns-MI & IN   2019-02-17 14:46 UTC
M19 Miss. R - L&D 11-Gregory Landing   2019-02-17 15:56 UTC
MIS Miss. R - L&D 20 to Chester, IL    2019-02-17 16:42 UTC
NLM Northern Lower Michigan rivers     2019-02-17 15:15 UTC
RCK Rock R Basin                       2019-02-17 15:24 UTC
SSL Illinois R tribs blo LaSalle, IL   2019-02-17 15:14 UTC
WIS Wisconsin R Basin                  2019-02-17 15:23 UTC

=====================================================================

Sites with forecasts above moderate flood level (FS=Flood Stage):
                                                                 MAX
RVF NWSLI    Station name/river                             FS   FCST
ILO HAVI2 Havana - Illinois R                             14.0   18.8
ILO BEAI2 Beardstown - Illinois R                         14.0   19.5

Sites with forecasts above flood stage (FS):
                                                                 MAX
RVF NWSLI    Station name/river                             FS   FCST
ILO SRDI2 Utica - Starved Rock L&D 6 -Illinois R         450.0  451.9
ILO LSLI2 La Salle - 1S - Illinois R                      20.0   21.4
ILO HNYI2 Henry - Illinois R                              23.0   23.5
ILO PIAI2 Peoria - Boat Yard - Illinois R                 18.0   19.6
ILO NLGI2 La Grange - L&D 8 - Illinois R                  23.0   24.0
ILO MROI2 Meredosia - Pwr Plant - Illinois R              17.0   17.8
ILO VALI2 Valley City - Illinois R                        14.0   15.7
ILO HARI2 Hardin - Illinois R                             25.0   25.1
KBM CRLI2 Carlyle - Carlyle Lk (TW)-Kaskaskia R          423.5  424.2
KBM PLMI2 Plumfield - Big Muddy R                         20.0   22.0
KBM MURI2 Murphysboro - 2SW-WWTP/Rte 127-Big Muddy R      22.0   27.9
KDF SLBI3 Shelby - Kankakee R                              9.0    9.0
M19 GGYM7 Gregory Landing - Mississippi R                 15.0   17.0
RCK JOSI2 Joslin - Rock R                                 12.0   13.1
RCK MLII2 Moline - Rock R                                 12.0   12.5

Sites with forecasts below flood stage but above a
user-defined threshold (FS=Flood Stage):
                                                                 MAX
RVF NWSLI    Station name/river                             FS   FCST
EWS PCNW3 Princeton - Fox R                                9.5    7.6
GND EAGM4 Eagle - 2NNE - Looking Glass R                   7.0    5.2
ILO PRAI2 Peoria - L&D 7 - Illinois R                    447.0  446.9
KDF MNGI2 Montgomery - Fox R                              13.0   12.5
KSJ CPEI3 Cosperville - N Br Elkhart R                     6.0    5.4
KSJ NILM4 Niles - WWTP - St Joseph R                      11.0    7.7
RCK BYRI2 Byron - Rock R                                  13.0   10.5
RCK DXRI2 Dixon - Rock River                              16.0   15.0
WIS DDGW3 Dodge - Trempealeau R                            9.0    7.4
WIS PORW3 Portage - 1SE - WWTP / Wisconsin R              17.0   13.2

=====================================================================

...Past Precipitation...
Observation times are in UTC.
Subtract 6 hrs for CST, 5 hrs for CDT/EST, 4 hrs for EDT.
=====================================================================

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Iowa:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
ADXI4    DH1300/PPDRZ  0.70 : Adel 2SE                            IA
IAPK88   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.63 : Des Moines 5WNW                     IA
IASR34   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.62 : Nevada 5S                           IA
IAPK98   DH1350/PPDRZ  0.60 : Des Moines 5NW                      IA
IAPK89   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.58 : Ankeny 4NNE                         IA

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Illinois:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
ILLE08   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.20 : Ashton                              IL
ILHY05   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.15 : Coal Valley 2SE                     IL
GEOI2    DH1300/PPDRZ  0.14 : Genoa 2SW                           IL
ILMCL32  DH1300/PPDRZ  0.14 : Danvers                             IL
ILMCL09  DH1300/PPDRZ  0.13 : Danvers 2WNW                        IL

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Indiana:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
INLK63   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.01 : Gary 5ENE                           IN
CRPI3    DH1330/PPDRZ  0.01 : Crown Point 1N - WWTP               IN
INPT157  DH1300/PPDRZ  0.01 : Portage 2NNW                        IN
INLK102  DH1300/PPDRZ 0.001 : Merrillville 2NNW (W9MAL)           IN
INPT133  DH1300/PPDRZ 0.001 : Valparaiso 2WNW                     IN

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Michigan:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
STOM4    DH1200/PPDRG  0.07 : Rapid River 2SE /Stonington RAWS/   MI
BPLM4    DH1200/PPDRG  0.05 : L`Anse 13SW - Baraga Plains /RAWS/  MI
NWCM4    DH1200/PPDRZ  0.04 : Newberry City                       MI
SBDM4    DH1200/PPDRG  0.02 : Empire /RAWS/                       MI
MNSM4    DH1130/PPDRZ  0.01 : Munising                            MI

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Minnesota:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
MNBW08   DH1315/PPDRZ  0.12 : Comfrey 6ENE                        MN
WDOM5    DH1400/PPDRZ  0.11 : Windom                              MN
MNFT05   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.11 : Blue Earth 1ESE                     MN
PTNM5    DH1400/PPDRZ  0.08 : Preston WWTP                        MN
MNBW01   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.08 : Springfield 2NNW                    MN

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Missouri:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
SLLM7    DH1200/PPDRG  0.24 : Sullivan 4SE                        MO
RLPM7    DH1200/PPDRG  0.15 : Rolla 5SE                           MO
WGNM7    DH1200/PPDRG  0.14 : Weingarten                          MO
BXBM7    DH1200/PPDRG  0.13 : Bixby                               MO
PCFM7    DH1200/PPDRG  0.12 : Pacific                             MO

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from North Dakota:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
LFDN8    DH1100/PPDRZ 0.001 : Lansford                            ND
MOT      DH1154/PPDRZ 0.001 : Minot Intl Arpt                     ND
MIB      DH1156/PPDRZ 0.001 : Minot AFB                           ND

No measureable precipitation reported within the NCRFC area
of South Dakota during the last 24 hours.

Top daily precipitation reports greater than zero from Wisconsin:
LID      OBTIME/SHEF  VALUE   NAME / DETAIL                     STATE
WICB01   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.20 : Columbus 1S                         WI
WIDA14   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.17 : McFarland 1E                        WI
WIDA33   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.15 : Oregon                              WI
WIDA63   DH1400/PPDRZ  0.15 : Madison 7WSW                        WI
WIIW03   DH1300/PPDRZ  0.15 : Mineral Point 7ENE                  WI

=====================================================================

See http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc/LMI_QCPCPN for all reports.


For additional and more in-depth information concerning river
forecasts, precipitation and all hydrometeorological information
in the NCRFC area of responsibility, please refer to the NCRFC
web page at:     http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc


$$





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