980
FNUS73 KABR 090245
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Mickelson RX...State of South Dakota
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
945 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2200 CDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Little to no precipitation fell over the past 12 hours ending at 9
PM over the Mickelson RX area. Light rain may move in overnight,
with amounts of less than 0.05 expected. Most of the rain in this
area fell Monday into Monday night. From 6 AM Monday to 6 AM
Tuesday, this location picked up around 0.81 inches of rain
(amount from the Castlewood Cooperative Observer) 2 miles north.
While there could be some light pop up Thursday afternoon (10
percent chance) with peak heating, a dry forecast is currently
expected. Winds will be out of the north to northeast 10 to 14
mph with relative humidity values only falling into the mid to
upper 40 percent range.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......500-5700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (92200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  40  27  20  15  14  14  16  24  32  44  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
Temp............46  45  47  50  54  57  59  61  64  64  64  65
RH..............93  96  89  83  74  69  64  60  52  52  50  48
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  13  13
20 FT wind gust.13  15  17  17  18  18  20  21  21  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.2 1.4 2.3 3.0 4.6 5.2 5.7 5.4 4.8
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 12 mph shifting to the west 6
                    to 7 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400-3800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest 8
                    to 12 mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (49800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........52  44  36  29  21  22  22  23  22  22  21  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............64  63  61  55  52  52  49  47  47  46  46  46
RH..............48  50  56  64  71  71  77  83  83  86  86  86
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..12  10  8   6   6   6   5   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.16  15  12  10  8   10  10  10  10  10  10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 3.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Smoke Dispersal.FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...KF
Requested by...Brett Blank
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413565.0/ABR
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brett.blank@state.sd.us