Text Products for ESF Issued by CLE

Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH
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Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
957 AM EST Thu Feb 29 2024

...FLOOD THREAT IS SLIGHTLY BELOW TO NEAR NORMAL THROUGH
MID MARCH FOR THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO RIVER WATERSHEDS OF
NORTHERN OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...

This is the fifth in a series of hydrologic outlooks issued by
the National Weather Service every two weeks through early spring
describing the potential for flooding across central and northern
Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. The rivers in the region are
divided by those that drain north into Lake Erie and those that
drain south into the Ohio River. These outlooks are based on
current and forecast hydrometeorological conditions, including
snowpack and projected rainfall, which can either favor an above,
average, or below normal flood risk over the coming two weeks.
Flooding could occur with water levels having minor impacts even
with a below normal outlook. This outlook is valid for the two-
week period from February 29th to March 14th.

...OBSERVED SNOW DEPTHS AND WATER EQUIVALENTS...

No snow pack currently exists across the region, aside from trace
amounts in the snowbelt region of northeast Ohio and northwest
Pennsylvania.

...STREAMFLOW AND SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS...

According to U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) streamgages, current
and 28 day streamflow averages across the region are below to
near normal across northern Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. Soil
moisture is near to slightly below normal across the region.

...RIVER ICE CONDITIONS...

No ice is present on area rivers and streams.

...WATER SUPPLY...

The US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) reservoirs are near normal
winter pool elevations. Reservoir storage capacity is generally
90% to 100% at the projects.

...TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...

For the 6 to 10 day (Mar 5 to 9) and 8 to 14 day (Mar 7 to 13)
outlook periods, above normal temperatures and precipitation is
favored for the region. The latest seasonal outlooks for March
through May favor above normal temperatures and near to above
normal precipitation across the region.

...SUMMARY...

The threat for flooding over the next two weeks is slightly
below to near normal for this time of year. It is important to
remember that heavy rain can cause flooding at any time. Extended
hydrologic information will be included in the Hazardous Weather
Outlook when necessary at
forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=HWO&issuedby=CLE.

Observed and 5 day forecast river information can be found on our
web page at www.weather.gov/cleveland. Ten day streamflow ensemble
forecast information can be found at www.weather.gov/erh/mmefs.

The sixth Winter/Spring Flood Outlook is scheduled for Thursday,
March 14th.

$$

Greenawalt
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
