Text Products for FWS Issued by DMX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA
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FNUS73 KDMX 151253
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Hunts WRP...Iowa DNR
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
753 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Elevated fire weather conditions can be expected today with warm
temperatures, very low humidities, and breezy southeast winds
gusting 20 to 25 mph. Only seasonally decreasing curing values and
somewhat maturing fuels have kept GFDI values from very high to
extreme values today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (84100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................5.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   1   1   1   2   2   4   4   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  65  69  72  76  78  79  80  80
RH..............39  34  30  27  24  23  23  23  23
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT wind spd..9   13  15  15  16  16  17  17  17
20 FT wind gust.10  21  22  22  22  22  23  24  24
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 2.0 2.7 3.0 3.6 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.20  21  22  21  21  21  22  21  23
GFDI............2   3   5   5   6   7   8   8   8
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100020  36  52  54  64  70  76  75  84

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    showers and chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 15 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 29 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the evening. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (79700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (10300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................5.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........10     27     60     73     86     88
Weather cov.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Temp............80     74     68     66     64     63
RH..............24     33     43     50     56     65
20 ft wind......E 16   E 15   E 16   E 17   SE 18  SE 18
20 ft wind gust.24     25     28     29     29     28
Mix hgt (ft)....3800   600    600    600    700    1000
Transport wind..SE 24  E 20   E 23   SE 24  SE 23  SE 24
GFDI............7      6      5      5      4      4
Haines index....5      4      4      4      2      2
SDspl kt-ft/100080     10     12     12     14     22

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Rain
                    showers through the day. Thunderstorms likely
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 18 to 24 mph shifting to the
                    south 21 to 24 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts
                    up to 35 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 25 to 33 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (24200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (76300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................5.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........85        88        88        69
Weather cov.....DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY    LIKELY
Temp............61        61        66        69
RH..............78        87        81        70
20 FT wind......SE 18G28  SE 21G31  SE 24G35  S 24G35
Mix hgt (ft)....1200      1400      1600      2400
Transport wind..SE 25     SE 30     SE 31     S 31
GFDI............3         3         5         6
Haines index....2         3         3         5
SDspl kt-ft/100027        37        44        65

$$
Forecaster...Jimenez
Requested by...Casey Trine
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410886.0/DMX
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Casey.Trine@dnr.iowa.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
