Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
000
FXUS62 KFFC 120600
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
200 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024
...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...
.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 244 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024
500mb longwave trough moving through the Gulf States this afternoon.
At the surface, low pressure stretches from the Ohio Valley back to
northern MS/AL. The low will continue to push off to the NE through
the period dragging a cold front through the CWA. A secondary dry
front is right along the Mississippi River. This is a dry front.
Regional radar shows scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
moving east along with the upper and surface lows. Can`t rule out a
strong storm, especially where full sun comes out and a little
surface instability can be realized. Lapse rates remain marginal.
The pressure gradient will remain tight through tomorrow with gusty
winds. Frequent gusts to around 30 kt will be possible today then
gusts between 25 and 30kt tomorrow.
NListemaa
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 244 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024
No major changes made to the extended forecast. This period will
feature dry weather and a warming trend that should push high
temperatures into the mid 80s by next Monday. On a synoptic scale
these trends will be driven by the departure of the upper level
trough this weekend, and the emergence of upper level ridging early
next week. Guidance from the EPS and GEFS strongly supports this
pattern shift, with 95% of their respective members keeping the
region dry through next Wednesday. Even the rebellious members who
generate precipitation only spit out a couple of hundredths on
Wednesday. Due to these strong trends in the ensemble guidance,
forecast confidence in dry weather and warmer temperatures is high.
Albright/01
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 148 AM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024
Broken mid-level clouds are moving across portions of north and
central Georgia. Some scattered MVFR level clouds are also present
under the cloud deck. These clouds should dissipate over the next
few hours, giving way to clear skies by mid-morning and through
the remainder of the period. Winds will be primarily W to NW
through the period. Wind speeds through the early morning hours
will range from 10-13 kts, with occasional gusts of 18-23 kts,
through the early morning hours. Winds are expected to steadily
increase after sunrise, becoming 18-20 kts with gusts of 25-30 kts
by 17Z. Winds will begin to diminish in the late afternoon and
evening, with gusts coming to an end after midnight.
//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.
King
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens 48 75 51 83 / 0 0 0 0
Atlanta 48 74 55 82 / 0 0 0 0
Blairsville 45 68 48 77 / 0 0 0 0
Cartersville 45 75 52 83 / 0 0 0 0
Columbus 48 79 53 83 / 0 0 0 0
Gainesville 49 73 52 81 / 0 0 0 0
Macon 48 77 52 83 / 0 0 0 0
Rome 45 76 51 82 / 0 0 0 0
Peachtree City 47 76 52 83 / 0 0 0 0
Vidalia 51 77 54 83 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...King