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000
FNUS75 KGJT 140942
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Brush Creek RX...Eagle Valley Wildland
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
342 AM MDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on April 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry southwest flow aloft continues over the burn
site today ahead of a storm approaching from the west. As the
storm moves over the area Monday, temperatures drop and showers
develop, mainly over surrounding higher terrain with chances of
wetting rain low. Winds strengthen with the storm`s passage.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downvalley 4 to 7 mph through 1000, then
                    becoming west at 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming fair by noon, then good during the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 7800 ft AGL at peak heating.
Transport winds.....South 12 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....32-37.
Max humidity........49-54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downvalley 3 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Decreasing to poor (6000 knot-ft) this evening.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 600 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....South 13 mph.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers and snow showers in the morning, then
                    scattered rain showers, snow showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....51-56.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to west
                    13 to 18 mph with occasional gusts to 28 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to excellent in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8500 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 mph.

$$

Forecaster...Norv Larson
Requested by...Hugh Fairfield-Smith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410636.0/GJT
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hfairfield-smith@eagleriverfire.org