326
FXUS64 KMEG 110226
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
926 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 923 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

A 1016 mb ridge of high pressure stretches from the Ohio Valley
back through the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southern Plains this
evening. This is resulting in clear to mostly clear skies, light
to nearly calm winds, and temperatures as of 9 PM CDT in the upper
50s to lower 60s. Some patchy fog is possible overnight,
especially towards the Tennessee River. Forecast overall in good
shape and no updated anticipated at this time.

CJC

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

A beautiful and dry weekend is on tap. Temperatures will be in
the 70s each day with lows in the 50s. Showers and thunderstorms
will return to the Mid-South on early Monday as an upper level
system moves overhead. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
persist through midweek.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Thursday)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

A gorgeous late spring day is ongoing across the Mid-South.
Temperatures range from low to mid 70s under partly cloudy skies.
Surface high pressure will continue to build into the Mid-South
through Sunday. A couple of cool nights are on tap, with lows in
the 50s. A few locations near the Tennessee River could briefly
fall in the upper 50s. Return flow will set up across the region
on Sunday with dewpoints rising into the upper 50s and lower 60s.

A compact upper level low will move from the Four Corners Region
and into the Lower Mississippi Valley by Monday morning.
Simultaneously, a surface low will develop in the Southern Plains
and move into the Mid-South region. This low will push a cold
front slowly through the region Monday into Tuesday night. A few
strong thunderstorms are possible, as instability is maximized in
during the afternoon hours on Tuesday. Otherwise, any organized
storms should remain to the south of the region.

A brief dry day is expected on Wednesday before another shortwave
moves through on Thursday and Friday. A cold front looks to move
through late next weekend.

AC3

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 620 PM CDT Fri May 10 2024

VFR will prevail at the Midsouth TAF sites through the next 30
hours. A reinforcing cold frontal passage Saturday morning will
bump northwesterly wind speeds, but with lower gust potential
than today.

PWB

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...AC3
AVIATION...PWB