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000
FNUS76 KMFR 230029
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Freys RX...USFWS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
529 PM PDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 PDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The overall pattern will begin to change for the burn
site as a weak system brings the possibility for scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms for the afternoons and evenings of Tuesday and
Wednesday. These storms could bring occasional cloud-to-ground lighting
and gusty, quickly shifting winds to 35 mph. Some small hail may be
possible, but unlikely (5% chance). In addition to the more unsettled
weather, temperatures will be cooler and winds will be relatively
breezy. The wet, unsettled pattern with additional showers and possibly
a thunderstorm (10% chance) will continue through the end of the
work week.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A 20 percent chance of rain showers
after 11 AM with scattered showers and an isolated
Thunderstorm after 1 PM. New accumulations of up to
0.03 inches, except more in thunderstorms. Occasional
cloud to ground lighting and gusty, quickly shifting
winds to 35 mph possible near thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....68 to 70 degrees.
Min humidity........30 to 35 percent.
Eye level winds.....South 0 to 2 mph shifting becoming west 2 to 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
CWR.................7 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming
                    mostly clear overnight. Isolated thunderstorms through
8 PM with a 20% chance of lingering showers through
midnight.
Min temperature.....41 to 43 degrees.
Max humidity........88 to 92 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest 3 to 5 mph with gusts to 10 mph in the
evening. Winds could become gusty and quickly-shifting
to 35 mph near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Falling to near the surface after midnight.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A 30 percent chance for rain showers and
                    a 15 percent chance for isolated thunderstorms in the
afternoon. New accumulations of up to 0.03 inches, except
more in thunderstorms. Occasional cloud to ground
lighting and gusty, quickly shifting winds to 35 mph
possible near thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....66 to 68 degrees.
Min humidity........35 to 40 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable 0 to 1 mph becoming west 2 to 4 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around 8 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. West
winds around 8 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around 6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SCHAAF
Requested by...Philip Bordelon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411771.0/MFR
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL philip_bordelon@fws.gov