Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
000
FXUS63 KOAX 280409
AFDOAX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1109 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry weather is expected through the week with warming into the
70s by Friday.
- Chances (40-70%)for precipitation return to the region late
this weekend into early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 329 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Cool surface high pressure continues to slowly shift east of the
region this afternoon. A persistent stratus deck continues to
diminish leaving mostly sunny skies across the area this
afternoon. Mid-afternoon temperatures were mostly in the 30s
with a few mid to low 40s where southwesterly winds have
allowed temperatures to mix out a bit.
The cold airmass responsible for our recent below-
normal temperatures has finally moved northeast of the region
and will be replaced with an upper ridge building into the
central CONUS later this week. This will advect much warmer air
into the region with highs on Thursday topping out in the 60s
and possibly into the low 70s by Friday.
A weak shortwave and cold front will pass through the region Friday
bringing a slight chance (less than 20%)for a few showers Friday
night-Saturday.
Our next widespread chance for precipitation arrives late Sunday and
continues into early next week as an upper trough moves across
the central Plains. There remain some discrepancies with
deterministic models in regards to precipitation types and
timing. We maintained model blended PoPs and precipitation
types. Will continue to monitor trends over the coming days.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1105 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024
Clear skies and light southerly winds under 10 knots are
expected to prevail at all TAF sites for the duration of the
forecast period. The fog/low stratus signal in short term
guidance has diminished. Potential for this still exists in
parts of north-central Nebraska, but it is looking more likely
that any fog/low stratus that develops will remain north and
west of KOFK. Nonetheless will continue monitoring for TAF
amendments where needed.
&&
.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Kern
AVIATION...Darrah