Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
070 FNUS73 KOAX 081321 FWSOAX Spot Forecast for Savery Pond Rx Fire...Monona County Conservation Board National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 821 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 08. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy today with isolated showers and thunderstorms in the area. High temperatures will be in the low 70s with lowest relative humidity values of 40-45 percent. Light southwest winds this morning will switch to north or northwest at 5 to 10 mph this afternoon. Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 15 mph Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 40 percent .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of showers late in the morning. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the afternoon, then chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Max temperature.....Around 71. Min humidity........45 percent. Eye level winds.....South winds around 5 mph shifting to the east around 4 mph late in the afternoon, then shifting to the northwest late in the afternoon. Surface winds (mph).South winds around 9 mph shifting to the east around 8 mph late in the afternoon, then shifting to the northwest late in the afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 8 mph shifting to the east around 7 mph late in the afternoon, then shifting to the west late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (25200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (55700 knot-ft) in the afternoon. GFDI................0. Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........84 70 94 72 56 61 63 Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Temp............65 67 68 70 70 70 69 RH..............58 52 47 47 45 45 47 20 FT wind dir..S S S S E W NW 20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 12 10 10 10 Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S E W NW Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 5 5 4 4 4 Eye lvl wnd gst.9 9 9 9 8 8 8 Surface wnd dir.S S S S E W NW Surface wnd spd.9 9 9 9 8 8 8 Surface wnd gst.15 15 15 15 13 13 13 Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.6 4.6 4.8 6.5 6.2 3.8 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.12 13 13 10 9 9 8 GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Haines index....6 6 5 5 5 5 5 SDspl kt-ft/100025 40 51 56 55 50 38 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening, then slight chance of rain showers late in the evening. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the morning. Min temperature.....Around 47. Max humidity........100 percent. Eye level winds.....North winds up to 5 mph shifting to the northwest around 4 mph in the late evening and overnight. Surface winds (mph).North winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest 6 to 8 mph in the late evening and overnight, then shifting to the around 8 mph early in the morning. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the north 5 to 7 mph in the late evening and overnight, then shifting to the northwest around 7 mph early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 10 mph shifting to the north 9 to 13 mph in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (23400 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (4400 knot-ft) late in the night. GFDI................0. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........56 47 35 37 44 54 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE Temp............68 62 56 52 50 49 RH..............49 62 74 89 93 93 20 ft wind......NW 6 N 6 N 6 N 6 N 6 NW 5 20 ft wind gust.10 6 Eye level wind..NW 4 N 4 N 4 N 4 N 4 NW 4 Eye lvl wnd gst.8 5 5 Surface wind....NW 8 N 8 N 8 N 8 N 8 NW 6 Surface wnd gst.13 7 Mix hgt (ft)....3500 500 500 400 500 600 Transport wind..NW 8 N 10 N 12 N 12 N 12 N 10 GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 Haines index....5 5 5 5 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/100023 6 5 5 6 5 $$ Forecaster...Mead Requested by...Kaleb Kaster Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413476.0/OAX .DELDT 05/08/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL mccbranger@mononacounty.org