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000
FXUS64 KOHX 191708
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1208 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1145 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

At midday, a cold front was moving across Middle Tennessee. On the
southeast side of the front including the Plateau, temperatures
had warmed into the lower 70s with partial sunshine. On the
northwest side of the front, low overcast skies and patchy
drizzle was holding temperatures in the upper 50s and lower 60s.
Look for the low clouds and cooler temps to continue spreading
southeastward through the rest of the day. Patchy drizzle or
sprinkles will continue area wide.

Through the weekend, the center of a large, cool high pressure
system will move from Canada down the plains, eventually to the
Mid Ms Valley. This will bring persisent, cooling north winds into
Middle Tennessee. Higher up in the atmosphere, a quasi zonal flow
will bring pockets of moisture and several weak impulses across
the southern states. This will give us a good deal of cloud cover
through the weekend with occasional chances for sprinkles. The
chance for measurable rainfall is generally less than 10 percent
across the north half and in the 10 to 30 percent range across
our southern counties. Overall, we are not looking for a washout
weekend, but perhaps a few nuisance drops at times. Overnight lows
will be mostly in the 40s with daytime highs mostly 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1145 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Clearer skies and light winds will develop Sunday night as
surface high pressure moves closer. This may allow some areas to
dip into the 30s with a risk for patchy frost. Monday will be a
sunnier peasant day with highs in the 60s.

A gradual warming trend will occur through next week with highs
climbing back into the 70s. A weak front will bring a small chance
for showers late Tuesday and Tuesday night. The next significant
rain chance will come late in the week. It looks like an active,
stormy pattern may form for next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 611 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Thunderstorms have come to an end, and while some spotty showers
may persist through the morning, widespread activity has moved out
of the area. Ceilings should lower this morning with MVFR to IFR
conditions likely not improving until at least 00Z. Otherwise,
winds will become northerly behind a cold front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      69  50  67  46 /  20  20  10  10
Clarksville    63  45  65  43 /  10  10  10  10
Crossville     69  46  63  41 /  50  20  10  20
Columbia       67  49  66  45 /  20  20  20  10
Cookeville     71  48  63  44 /  40  10  10  10
Jamestown      71  45  63  41 /  50  10  10  10
Lawrenceburg   68  51  65  46 /  30  20  20  20
Murfreesboro   72  49  67  45 /  30  20  10  10
Waverly        64  47  65  45 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION.....Clements